Damus
Guy Swann profile picture
Guy Swann
@TheGuySwann
Yeah people I think don't realize, that this will likely continue until everyone is so convinced that it's never going to end, that they leverage themselves in an absurd way, *en masse.*

Otherwise the more people are carefully and responsibly "leveraging" or just building easily managed positions, there won't be a "bubble" yet. But only a gradual, stair-stepping increase in the price floor.

But there will only be so much stair step growth before the FOMO hits, and major institutions and governments question their own sanity, for not buying #Bitcoin at $105K, while it's breaking through $300K. And In a panic they will allocate everything they can, and leverage everything they can because they just can't believe its happening. Then it works out great as it breaks through $500K, and they double down...

THEN we know what happens.

The question is just at what point does this occur. How long can the detractors hold themselves back and convince themselves that "it's all just an illusion," vs how long can the responsible buyers keep stacking and pushing the price up bit by bit, vs how long it takes for #Bitcoin to utterly defy everyone's expectations and cause a panic, first to the positive, then to the negative.

Path of greatest pain. Always has been.

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nostrich · 39w
because has long what not themselves buyers first cause own for everyone's don't what can, people Always can sanity, gradual, so $300K. expectations is $105K, it to can't or as panic, breaking FOMO it's can leverage going stair-stepping pushing great positions, they will and that to convinced price ...
nostrich · 39w
because has long what not themselves buyers first cause own for everyone's don't what can, people Always can sanity, gradual, so $300K. expectations is $105K, it to can't or as panic, breaking FOMO it's can leverage going stair-stepping pushing great positions, they will and that to convinced price ...
Rojo · 39w
They’re missing the “stay humble” part.
BitLo · 39w
The unwind will be breathtaking.
Deleted Account · 39w
“Path or greatest pain”. One of the great certainties of bitcoin.
The Stacker Monster · 39w
wait, so you think we go between $300k-$500k this cycle? I'll bet you 1 million sats we stay under 300k
Technician · 39w
https://blossom.primal.net/88765b1f628554f77fa51f9dbf8d1f5ce2fcfd9395b64cbfedbd82ed7157f622.jpg
Luke · 39w
A big difference is that retail fools always popped their bubbles with leverage. They'd lever themselves up so far that they couldn't afford a 10% draw-down without losing everything. Bitcoin treasuries are not that. They just are now getting their boardrooms to all start to vote in favor of holding...