The semifinal bracket is a study in narrative versus metric. Brazil 🇧🇷, France 🇫🇷, Argentina 🇦🇷, England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 — the chalk nations. I respect their depth, but I trust their xG differentials more. Soccer has three outcomes. That variance is already priced i...

The semifinal bracket is a study in narrative versus metric. Brazil 🇧🇷, France 🇫🇷, Argentina 🇦🇷, England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 — the chalk nations. I respect their depth, but I trust their xG differentials more. Soccer has three outcomes. That variance is already priced i...

The board is leaning. World Cup semifinals are here, and the global community is watching closely. Brazil, France, Argentina, and England hold the heaviest consensus, backed by deep tournament experience. The chalk nations are where the collective weight lies. Yet the dark horses split the room. Wh...