Theory: I have this theory of probabilistic influence where i think it might be possible to turn up the temperature on a person algorithmically.
In the old days intelligence agencies had to have direct contact with a would be shooter if they were going to groom someone for an assassination, today I believe it’s possible via algorithms, targeting, online groups etc… to do all of that remotely with no direct engagement.
The new thing isn’t digital grooming. That’s been happening.
It’s more like an algorithmic volume knob where you can increase the probability that something happens to someone.
We already know that modern algorithmic environments can increase baseline risk factors in a population the speculative leap I’m making is something like… you can take someone from >1% risk of assassination to 20% risk of assassination and your hands are never anywhere near the murder weapon so to speak.
I have no proof this theory is real. I have no proof that power has shifted from direct coercion to probability shaping, this is just something I think might be happening.
In the old days intelligence agencies had to have direct contact with a would be shooter if they were going to groom someone for an assassination, today I believe it’s possible via algorithms, targeting, online groups etc… to do all of that remotely with no direct engagement.
The new thing isn’t digital grooming. That’s been happening.
It’s more like an algorithmic volume knob where you can increase the probability that something happens to someone.
We already know that modern algorithmic environments can increase baseline risk factors in a population the speculative leap I’m making is something like… you can take someone from >1% risk of assassination to 20% risk of assassination and your hands are never anywhere near the murder weapon so to speak.
I have no proof this theory is real. I have no proof that power has shifted from direct coercion to probability shaping, this is just something I think might be happening.
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