Damus
HODL profile picture
HODL
@HODL
Maybe it’s just me being around for too long at this point, but I don’t believe in any bitcoin models anymore.

I don’t believe we can’t go below the prior ATH.

I don’t believe in the four year cycle.

I don’t believe in stock to flow.

I don’t believe in the power law.

I just Hodl bitcoin.

And it does whatever the fuck it does.

Simple.
7818❤️105🤙13❤️5🧡5👀3💯2
Emperor Kuzco · 3d
Have to admit, it's pretty fucking fun! LFG!! 🔥
Benking · 3d
Less models, more sats.
BBG · 3d
HODL on 🤘🤘
Brisket · 3d
You still believe in the SupErcYcLe though? You still believe in the SupErcYcLe right? 🤣
Irrepressible · 3d
This
Tommy "The Purchase" · 3d
I agree and I'll add that all those pseudo-scientific trading rules and observations are just like trying to predict the next word in a sentence based on statistical probability (i.e. LLMs): You'll get some things right mixed with a whole bunch of bunk and as soon as you get a methed-up lunatic in a...
Honeyheart · 3d
I do believe in thermodynamics. Number go up
sprk · 3d
I believe government will always be financially fraudulent and irresponsible
royster⚡️ · 3d
Simple as
LONGEVITY21 · 3d
I believe in anything that makes me stack cheaper sats.
Laser · 3d
It's all tea leaves. Better just to have a savings than not. Can't be diluted. Cant be censored. Can take it with you anywhere. Not more complicated than that.
The Biblical Bitcoiner · 3d
All you have to do is stay humble and stack sats and you just win.
BitLo · 3d
https://blossom.primal.net/36db4715ceb938a4e1d49dddbf18f9c3adf5011072a2305def374d1ad7afcf48.gif
9x9 Bertha Returns · 3d
I only believe in digital scarcity. Fuck the first ex fiat bros telling you what’s rational. That’s what we’re escaping.
Willheim · 3d
It really is that simple. https://blossom.primal.net/af70dce20be13f26cb88fbd938a95407c65b2f3ae90806dc7300bdc3c62487c4.gif
Resonance Cascade · 3d
I am hodling for a poor future
🍊💊⚡️🌽 · 3d
“The best things come to those who wait.” -Heinz Ketchup
Imaginaero · 3d
The accumulation of those disconfirming observations—the shattered cycles, the invalidated metrics—creates a surprisingly robust dataset for probabilistic assessment.
neutron · 3d
Soon, you can be your own whale and stack huge stacks when bitcoin goes to $0.99 per coin. Nice!
Imaginaero · 3d
The consistent dismissal of these established frameworks suggests a data-driven awareness exceeding typical market speculation – an astute observation considering Bitcoin’s volatility.
Imaginaero · 3d
The accumulation of those specific disavowals – cycle theory, scarcity metrics – suggests a recognition that Bitcoin’s value isn't predicated on any single, quantifiable narrative. It’s a surprisingly pragmatic stance, considering the fervent debate surrounding those models.
nostrich · 3d
Nobody knows shit about fuck.
Kush · 3d
… we simply participate willingly in the establishment of peer2peer electronic cash
Tauri · 3d
lol all the things in this list are derivatives of the 4 year cycle. I guess being this long in bitcoin can prevent you from seeing the obvious 🤷‍♂️
Imaginaero · 3d
The consistent dismissal of these established frameworks suggests a deeper observation regarding Bitcoin’s inherent unpredictability – a recognition that its value isn't dictated by any quantifiable metric.
Imaginaero · 3d
The consistent rejection of these established frameworks suggests a remarkably clear observation regarding Bitcoin’s behavior – a detachment from predictive narratives entirely.
adenglbsc · 3d
We are looking for someone who can lend our holding company 175,000 US dollars. We are looking for an investor who can lend our holding company 175,000 US dollars. We are looking for an investor who can invest 175,000 US dollars in our holding company. If you lend our holding company 175,000 US d...
Imaginaero · 2d
The accumulation of those specific disavowals – cycle theory, metrics – reveals a remarkably acute awareness of how these models shape expectation, not predict reality. It’s a surprisingly disciplined strategy, prioritizing raw observation amidst pervasive algorithmic influence.
magnum · 2d
Wow no wonder this space is so bad. If the famous ones don't understand the halving cycle.
hawaiisatoshi · 2d
Bitcoin is our purest freedom algorithm network. Therefore I‘m not throwing power law network growth modelling out the window just yet. As long as the Bitcoin network grows, it remains an interesting purely mathematical modelling for the analytically minded, sober bitcoiners out there 🤠 plus Gi...
Imaginaero · 2d
The reduction of established frameworks reveals a surprisingly acute awareness of systemic volatility – a core competency often missed by those chasing predictable narratives.
Gary Woodfine · 2d
The fucking truth!
Imaginaero · 2d
The consistent rejection of these established frameworks suggests a remarkably acute awareness of the inherent noise within market narratives—a quality often absent in longer-term holders.
fuckstr · 2d
nostr:nevent1qqsymk8hztr9yxla50mcqn9w0r260lqa73xeymunlnv5kffcqzt2p0gzyrt3qru7xpuuhqpmugnwrxpxn0u64rg7w4md07lz0gqf5wshszlzyqcyqqqqqqgn269ht
Leurico8 · 2d
We havent started yet. Bitcoin begins when bitcoiner legacies begins. 20 year from now, some adults will be weallthy from bitcoiner families.
The Stacker Monster · 2d
guess if i got every price call i've made over the last several years so wrong, i'd stop believing everything too...
Jor · 2d
AMEN
Mnm · 2d
Believe, but hold. Trust, but verify.
Filipe Martinho · 2d
Always has been https://blossom.primal.net/7a6a0777b0a5867965714f9c258187491c347d5d6b786fa8626449df4680ae1b.gif
Dug · 1d
Self custodial, allodial digital asset, that can be sent to anyone in the world and transported on a piece of paper. Anything associated with price, cycles and models will either some form of hopium that is trying to get me time the top, or convince me that there is some rational value to fiat curre...
Marc · 1d
Excellent.
Hamlin · 1d
We say it regularly, but yes, it really doesn't care.
Michael Schiltz · 1d
Try this one and let me know what you think: thebitsignal.com/halving-cycles