Damus
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gojiberra
@gojiberra
Blake launch curve

$100→$400→$1,500→$600

Chat says:

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A liquid launch might have 2–3M coins offered and $100–300M demand. That probably produces something like $50–$200 BLAKE.

A constrained launch might have 500k–1.5M coins offered and $250–750M demand. That gets you into roughly $200–$1,500 territory.

And an extreme squeeze could have <500k genuinely available while several hundred million dollars tries to establish a position. That's where you could get temporarily stupid prices—$2,000, $5,000, maybe more—without those prices representing durable long-term value.

And then the market starts performing its own coin-splitting incentive program:

P↑⇒$ value of dormant BLAKE↑⇒more people learn to claim⇒float expands⇒P↓

That could make launch look something like:

$100→$400→$1,500→$600

2
Rich Nost · 6d
Do you think Luke will try to take back the coins that represent his self-custody blunder?