2026-03-21 03:00 UTC | BLOCK 941495

BITCOIN $70,722 | GOLD $4,500

1. Trump rules out ground troops in Iran
-- Bloomberg: "no plans" for deployment including Kharg Island; ground entry odds crashed to 19%.
-- War aims narrowing to air campaign only; ceasefire frozen at 8% with BTC $70,722 holding $70K support.

2. Oil retreats $4 from overnight $98 spike
-- WTI fell back to $94.13 as Hormuz-area strikes and G7 coordination reassert pressure on supply fears.
-- Volatile $92-$101 weekly range compressing into next week's Treasury auctions at war-era 4.30% yields.

3. Netanyahu removal odds hit 49%, near coin-flip
-- Polymarket prices Israeli PM exit at highest of entire war; leadership instability now on both sides of conflict.
-- Regime fall 38% before 2027 in Tehran, 49% removal in Jerusalem; no stable political authority directing ten-nation war.

4. DXY breaks below 100, weakest since war began
-- Dollar index fell to 99.20 post-FOMC despite hawkish hold; stealth Fed Treasury purchases contradicting public messaging.
-- Weaker dollar plus hidden liquidity injection historically bullish for BTC $70,722 as structural haven rotation from gold ($4,500) accelerates.