🚨🚨 THIS IS WHEN THE CRYPTO MARKET ACTUALLY BOTTOMS
Most people think Bitcoin already bottomed at $60K.
That was likely just a local bottom, not the final cycle low.
Here’s what historically happens before real bottoms form.
1. LIQUIDITY COMES FIRST
Every major crypto bottom has happened when U.S. liquidity starts expanding again. Right now liquidity growth is still negative, meaning money is leaving the system, not entering it.
When liquidity falls, crypto and risk assets stay weak. That is exactly what we are seeing now.
2. ONCHAIN SIGNALS ARE NOT AT EXTREMES
The Mayer Multiple, which marked previous bottoms, is still above historical bottom levels. The market looks oversold, but not fully exhausted yet.
Long term holder realized price also sits much lower, around the $41K area, where previous cycle bottoms tend to form.
3. MINING COST AND DEMAND ZONE
Mining electrical cost currently sits near $57K, but during bear phases it usually drops 15–20%, placing a potential floor around $45K–$46K.
This also overlaps with the strongest institutional demand zone between $45K and $50K, where ETFs were approved and large accumulation happened.
SO WHEN DOES THE REAL BOTTOM FORM?
This cycle is behaving differently. Bitcoin made a new ATH before the halving and momentum weakened earlier than expected.
Instead of a typical Q4 bottom, the market may bottom earlier.
Estimated window: late summer, around August to September.
When price reaches that zone, sentiment will likely turn extremely bearish again. That is usually when markets finally reset.
The $60K move was likely a local bottom.
The real cycle low may form below $50K before the next expansion phase begins.
#bitcoin #btc #nostr #primal #trading #investment #zap #lightning #news #hodl #cryptocurrency #trump #money #fiat #finance #donaldtrump #usd #business #worldnews #crypto #blockchain #sats #primal #nostr #economy #politics #gold #silver #wealth #fed #marketupdate #tradepolicy #tariff #china #federalreserve #wallstreet #eth #ethereum #xrp #solana #economics
Most people think Bitcoin already bottomed at $60K.
That was likely just a local bottom, not the final cycle low.
Here’s what historically happens before real bottoms form.
1. LIQUIDITY COMES FIRST
Every major crypto bottom has happened when U.S. liquidity starts expanding again. Right now liquidity growth is still negative, meaning money is leaving the system, not entering it.
When liquidity falls, crypto and risk assets stay weak. That is exactly what we are seeing now.
2. ONCHAIN SIGNALS ARE NOT AT EXTREMES
The Mayer Multiple, which marked previous bottoms, is still above historical bottom levels. The market looks oversold, but not fully exhausted yet.
Long term holder realized price also sits much lower, around the $41K area, where previous cycle bottoms tend to form.
3. MINING COST AND DEMAND ZONE
Mining electrical cost currently sits near $57K, but during bear phases it usually drops 15–20%, placing a potential floor around $45K–$46K.
This also overlaps with the strongest institutional demand zone between $45K and $50K, where ETFs were approved and large accumulation happened.
SO WHEN DOES THE REAL BOTTOM FORM?
This cycle is behaving differently. Bitcoin made a new ATH before the halving and momentum weakened earlier than expected.
Instead of a typical Q4 bottom, the market may bottom earlier.
Estimated window: late summer, around August to September.
When price reaches that zone, sentiment will likely turn extremely bearish again. That is usually when markets finally reset.
The $60K move was likely a local bottom.
The real cycle low may form below $50K before the next expansion phase begins.
#bitcoin #btc #nostr #primal #trading #investment #zap #lightning #news #hodl #cryptocurrency #trump #money #fiat #finance #donaldtrump #usd #business #worldnews #crypto #blockchain #sats #primal #nostr #economy #politics #gold #silver #wealth #fed #marketupdate #tradepolicy #tariff #china #federalreserve #wallstreet #eth #ethereum #xrp #solana #economics
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