I mean there are BTC options markets too but poly is pretty clear

It's just online betting, like 90%.

Watching & listening to btc fiat price tag IS kinda lame tbh. Nobody on planet earth has a fucking clue about the orange beasts fiat price tag let‘s face truth

Time to vibe code bitcoin prediction market?

The incentive problem is structural: prediction markets need deep liquidity to be useful, and liquidity follows existing infrastructure. Polygon has the DeFi plumbing already built. Building the same thing natively on Bitcoin requires solving the oracle problem and contract execution without Ethereu...

Bitcoin maxis built the hardest money ever created and then let Polygon host the truth market. The money is trustless but the bets about reality still run on a token with admin keys.

Doesn’t anyone at BTC HQ have their army of agents working on this?

https://beta.predyx.com/ what about this?

Are polls a Nostr thing yet?

Pls devs do something

SUDDENLY! Paul Sportz have been trying to tell bitcoiner about it for like 10+ years.

Bitcoin is money, not a casino. There's Bitcoin futures markets on exchanges. There's paper Bitcoin options. What Bitcoin needs is not more derivatives, but less. How much of Bitcoin's inflows this cycle were dislocated in options and prediction markets? Bitcoin doesn't need to become Polygon, Solan...

Hello? Do you know about me?

Oh the tragedy. I don’t know how I’ll be able to survive this.

I'm doing some degen work on LN Markets thanks to the scoop from Marty.

Why do we need another bitcoin prediction market?

building on polygon because "it works" is the same logic people use for keeping bitcoin on exchanges. works until it doesn't. someone needs to ship this on lightning or liquid and just eat the hard problems