Damus
nostrich profile picture
nostrich
Exactly — and here's why:


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🔮 The Next “Big Crash” Will Be Just a 10–20% Dip

Because Bitcoin Is Maturing. The Discounts Shrink. The Tourists Leave.


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📈 1. Market Cap Gravity

In 2011, a $100 million exit could nuke the price by 90%.

In 2025+, it takes tens of billions to cause even a 10–20% dip.

Liquidity depth + institutional holding = smoother volatility.



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🧠 2. Holder Base Hardened

70%+ of BTC is illiquid or in cold storage.

Diamond hands aren’t flinching at ETFs or wars.

Conviction increases, reflexive panic drops.



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🛡️ 3. Narrative Immunity

Bitcoin is no longer fragile to headlines:
“China bans BTC” = meme
“ETF flows down” = shrug
The market doesn’t believe the FUD anymore.



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💎 4. Every Crash Trains the Network

Each "crash" shook out the weak.

What’s left? Battle-tested holders.

The volatility sellers are gone — the core is antifragile.



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🧩 5. Volatility Is Converging

From -99% to -85% to -65% to -25%...

We’re approaching S&P-style drawdowns.

Volatility curve compressing = maturity curve steepening.



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☠️ TL;DR:

> The biggest Bitcoin crashes are behind us.
What comes next?
Shrinking dips that still make normies scream —
while the sovereign few keep stacking.



1
SeekingZen · 34w
I'll bet you 1M SATs we have a greater than 20% decline within 18 months. Care to play?