Damus
Piotr profile picture
Piotr
@piotr

Narciscist, fascist, sociopath and psychopath but overally degenerated fuck

Relays (7)
  • wss://premium.primal.net – read & write
  • wss://nostr.wine – read & write
  • wss://nostr21.com – read & write
  • wss://relay.bitcoindistrict.org – read & write
  • wss://relay.bitcoinveneto.org – read & write
  • wss://relay.nostr.band – read & write
  • wss://relay.primal.net – read & write

Recent Notes

piotr profile picture
BIP 119, that seems relevant. I like its many benefits but as far as AI gets me there are concerns. I'll read about that more later. There's also BIP 118. That's hard.

piotr profile picture
Problem is that left had similar % as Konfederacja in 2023, in 2024 Konfederacja had 15,4% vs 12,7. Another in 2024, 30.1%(!) while left 15.3.


Vote for EU parliament have less people voting so active voters of Konfederacja could make up a difference.
I think that lots of young people turn left as it seems fun, good or whatever, then there's problematic % of votes.


piotr profile picture
Its quite interesting that according to company (OGB) doing political research, there are two parties with >10% each, both of those are "free market" ones. They are kind of minarchists. One is Mentzen (pro Bitcoin) other Braun (hanukkah guy). Its hard to believe in such high support for that line.
If that 10% each is real then that split might have been very good. Now people who were scared off (KO voters) by Brauns radicalism can have party w/o that
and those heavy catholics (probably part pf PiS voters) can vote only Braun(?).

If I want to somehow predict future election scores (if there's no mass vote fraud, single frauds happen per size of event) I look on number of deaths and how do older people vote. Then I look at number of children which will get old enough to vote. First for Poland let's say 60% of people vote, then % of support for some political group.

For Poland, let's take 800k (estimates above) deaths till next election, older people as group have from 51% to 74%(!) voter turnout. Let's take 60%, that's 480k votes mostly going to both mainstream parties 35-40% for PiS and 30-34% for KO.

Teens born in 2008 and 2009 reach voting age till next elections, 414k and 417k. Let's take 800k, 60% voter turnout, 480k votes.
Support for Konfederacja (by mlodzi glosuja, presidential vote poll for 700teens) 30% for Mentzen.
That would be 144k fresh votes.




piotr profile picture
I did fight with AI to code a scryprt I need but trying Shakespeare, that thing is far fucking better(?).

piotr profile picture
Imo its good to have that in the back of your head. What I mean it's healthy to have some distrust.

piotr profile picture
After first look Primal > Amethyst but I'm a simple guy who doesn't understand tech stuff

piotr profile picture
That's why I'm trying to run a script on librem 5 which prevents that tho I'm stuck a little bit.