Damus
Guy Swann profile picture
Guy Swann
@TheGuySwann

“The Guy who has read more about Bitcoin than anyone else you know.”

Adjectives: Smart/Sexy
Host of Bitcoin Audible 🎧

Relays (12)
  • wss://algo.utxo.one – read & write
  • wss://eden.nostr.land – read & write
  • wss://nos.lol – read & write
  • wss://nostr.land – read & write
  • wss://nostr.orangepill.dev – read & write
  • wss://nostr.wine – read & write
  • wss://relay.current.fyi – read & write
  • wss://relay.damus.io – read & write
  • wss://relay.momostr.pink – read & write
  • wss://relay.primal.net – read & write
  • wss://satsage.xyz – read & write
  • wss://relay.noderunners.network – read & write

Recent Notes

Creediator · 15h
Does it use AI api call to figure out the complexity of the query?
the axiom · 14h
AI > AI
moonrock · 16h
I'm using Home Assistant OS...
Bitcoin Nora · 20h
Yes exactly. Not only are we becoming poorer, but we are being gaslighted about why too
Guy Swann profile picture
As ive said dozens of times. It will be between $70-80 trillion in 2035.

It actually puts us a bit closer to $41 trillion at the end of this year than $40 in my estimation.

It takes us to $53 Trillion by 2030, just four years from now.

Then we add another $20 trillion, almost half of the entire current debt, in only the next 5 years after that reaching around $75 trillion.

This obviously won’t be a straight line and there will be sharp years and shallower ones, but they will both be “sharp” and “shallow” in respect to how enormous their addition to the debt is. Not there there will be any pause or reversal in this trend… in any respect whatsoever. A literal revolution would need to occur to turn this around.
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Bitcoin Nora · 20h
Sounds like a LOT of people are going to get a LOT poorer
KrP · 20h
Keep kicking that can
TallBrian · 20h
I actually believe you’re off by an order of magnitude on the 2035 numbers. AI is going to introduce deflation the likes of which we haven’t seen since the tractor and production lines. Linear inflation will not be enough to keep the crooks in power. Actually, hyperinflation won’t be either, b...
Pip the WoT guy · 20h
IMO we'll reach $100T in 2037. Total gut feeling, no math done, just pure vibes of the collapse
G Force G · 19h
AI slop fixes this
Chris · 19h
39T by April 1ish…. 40T by New Fiscal Year (October 1ish) 41T in very early (Feb 1ish) 2027. Just in time for new congress to choke on the NEXT triggering of laughable “debt ceiling” crisis. 💵 🔥 🤪 🔫
Hard Money Herald · 17h
The math on the trajectory is straightforward — the harder question is who provides the bid at 70-80 trillion. At current rates, interest expense alone crosses 2 trillion annually well before 2030. That's larger than defense spending and approaching Social Security. Individual investors rotating o...
Karadenizli · 16h
nostr:nevent1qqsgx2vzz87wlfdc56qwsm43zngjfafu0shyhjfvs5s8jznsqqng2ncprfmhxue69uhkumm0wfhx7er99ehx7um5wgcjucm0d5hsyg9qedcdxgy0ta70v6uuhdvzau0zzhh5auxf2vvx8pv0kejdm7ct3upsgqqqqqqsdtwmw2
Grace and Truth · 14h
First glance, I thought you were talking BTC price.
Guy Swann profile picture
Sadness. Weak hands don’t get the game.

Although, it could also simply suggest that individuals were so strongly frontrunning the businesses and hedge funds etc, that they were able to offload and strengthen their life’s foundation while institutions are only now starting to catch up.

In other words, businesses, hedge funds, and govts have to buy from someone. And individuals have the largest slice of the pie so they are the largest pool of potential liquidity regardless.
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Honeyheart · 20h
Is there anything else in the world where individuals hold an majority un-confiscatable supply of anything other than BTC?
KrP · 20h
Stay strong 💪🏻
ihsotas · 20h
People should not sell their BTC to the pedophiles. They will regret every sat not spent in the circular economy.
Guy Swann · 20h
Found the pie chart I was visualizing in my head 😂 https://primal.net/e/nevent1qqsz6ejfg9zhcntd3lu90hefdpzk75j79zzza79mz87w7ca7hy420zqg2weu6
R · 19h
I tend to think it’s the second part. People that were early and had 1-10,000 coins have decided that after 10-17 years it’s time to fathom their unfathomable riches. Also, for every business, etf, and government that holds Bitcoin, there is an individual inside that organization who made the ...
FeynStructure · 18h
It's both. It's the visionary few who strongly frontran the institutions, enjoying their deserved rewards (hopefully translated into land, livestock, whatever, and not just a pile of dollars), AND It's also the weak, uneducated (in terms of Bitcoin), high time preference masses giving up their onl...
DireMunchkin · 15h
I'm more inclined to see it as just hodlers offloading into doing something nice for their life. Just as a personal anecdote I paid off my student loan debt last June with some of my corn. I didn't sell a very large portion of it though, and I plan to stack more.
Little Johnny · 13h
I would not be surprised if many of the so-called OGs are not aligned with the mission and are happy to change their Bitcoin to fiat. Regarding the people who found Bitcoin very early, I think that they can be divided into two groups: 1.) the ones who were hoping for something like Bitcoin to em...
Troy · 19h
The topic here is relays and being responsible for what you expose yourself too. Not "the Internet at large", or crying about self imposed slavery to X.
Laeserin · 18h
YouTube is full of deepfakes, too.