It is clear that on many levels neither the US, nor Europe ever considered the consequences of this war. Ukraine will never be able to return to its former state or recover from this conflict. As predicted by Prof. Meirsheimer, it will simply turn into a dysfunctional rump state. Its resources will be plundered and pillaged by transnational banks and corporations from countries who will inevitably demand some form of repayment for the money they poured into this war, and the remaining Ukrainian population will only get poorer and poorer trying to service the IMF and other debt.
It is delusional to think that Ukraine's issues will stay in Ukraine. Firstly, many European countries accepted millions of Ukrainian refugees and migrants most of which do not have any plans to return to Ukraine. Secondly, it is inevitable that many of those, who happen to survive the conflict will eventually seek to reunite with their families who settled in Europe after 2022, and it is highly unlikely that they will be looking to do that in their destroyed homeland, which offers them and their children no prospects. So, thousands of mentally and physically broken soldiers will come to Europe to join their families and only God knows whether they will ever be able to recover from the conflict and contribute anything to the societies they would be looking to become a part of or whether they would instead become a permanent burden on Europe's taxpayers for the rest of their lives. So, the cost of this conflict will be much wider and much more painful than the Ukrainian budget beyond 2026 and Europe needs to prepare for supporting Ukrainian refugees and their families beyond Ukraine's borders. I doubt that this is even being discussed among Europe's leadership, let alone that any preparations are happening!
Last year, the Germans published some stats related to the Ukrainians learning German. According to those stats, nearly 70% of Ukrainians either abandoned German language courses or did not put the required effort into learning the language, failed to turn up to classes, exams etc. Remember, this is in a context, where those courses are being funded by the German government and offered to Ukrainians free of charge! As you can see, this shows low interest among Ukrainians to integrate into German society even on a basic level, let alone start contributing anything to it! Has the German government ever considered the cost of millions of the so called refugees from Ukraine never even trying to integrate into their economy? Yes, they do have plans to cut their benefits to force them to work but what is going to be the success of that if the people you are hoping to force to work don't even speak your language and have no desire to learn it? What if many of them to choose to turn to crime instead? Who considered the cost of that? Nobody!
What is to say that other European countries do not have exactly the same or very similar issues? Nothing!
Even where Ukrainians do get jobs and pay taxes, most of the time the jobs they get are low paid and therefore the taxes they pay do not cover what they require from the system to educate their children, provide their healthcare etc, etc...
So, Europe will be dealing with the consequences of this war for a long, long time to come and it will be without the benefit of cheap Russian resources driving economic miracles like post 1960s Germany's!
#ukraine #ukrainian #war #refugees #failstate #poverty for
#eu #europe Your Conscience schrieb den folgenden Beitrag Fri, 28 Mar 2025 21:41:48 +0100The war in Ukraine has come at a vast financial cost to that country. Ukraine's defense spending has risen ten fold since the 2021 budget was announced, when social welfare spending was the country's biggest expenditure.
With the Trump administration looking to pare back its financial commitments the pressure will be on the European states, although Europeans have struggled to agree on an additional funding package. Funding an additional $20 billion will likely cause a backlash from the left and the right who think the war should've ended in 2022.
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https://thepeacemonger.substack.com/p/ukraine-could-be-broke-by-2026-even#Ukraine