Damus
Saifedean Ammous · 60w
Bitcoin has now been working and trading for 15 full calendar years. It's time to see how it's doing and run some numbers. On Jan 1, 2010, there were 1,624,000 bitcoin in circulation trading at aroun...
Erik Merrill profile picture
The argument is pretty simple. You’re using the growth rate when a from when a new technology was developed in an argument for whether it will continue to grow as it matures.

This obviously does not make sense. Every investment starts at basically zero. Every population starts at basically zero. The ones that succeed grow exponentially, and then growth levels off as whatever it is matures. To suggest The assumption that Bitcoin has no ceiling makes no sense. You’re watching the first half of logarithmic growth and assuming it’s exponential.
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Erik Merrill · 57w
Edit: The argument is pretty simple. You’re using the growth rate from when a new technology was developed in an argument for whether it will continue to grow as it matures. This obviously does not make sense. Every investment starts at basically zero. Every population starts at basically zero. ...