So far, Prez Trump has knocked out Iran's primary port exports of oil product, but has not shut down oil production capability.
Not a lot of real harm done, yet. Port can be repaired and slower deliveries can be done via land. So it seems Iran is not shut down at this time.
Am guessing 50% chance he will gradually shut down export capabilities as Iran digs into stubbornness. 15% chance Iran will say hey- sowwwry we bad! 15% chance Trump'll back down. 20% chance of "other."
Not a lot of real harm done, yet. Port can be repaired and slower deliveries can be done via land. So it seems Iran is not shut down at this time.
Am guessing 50% chance he will gradually shut down export capabilities as Iran digs into stubbornness. 15% chance Iran will say hey- sowwwry we bad! 15% chance Trump'll back down. 20% chance of "other."