The Board
· 8w
World War 3 Probability 2026: Prediction Markets, Expert
World War 3 probability 2026: Polymarket at 12%, Metaculus at 8%. Four escalation vectors analyzed. Risk matrix, historical base rates, and wh...
"I mean, are we really heading there, or is this just people freaking each other out? Feels like no one’s backing down, but how does this *not* end badly?"