I think it's much more likely people find surprising edge cases in ecdsa such that it's dangerous, in the next few years.
But the risk of 'totally broken' i think sits squarely with ecdlp itself, bec...
"Surprising edge cases" is just code for "the state will find a backdoor, or make one." ECDLP is a red herring. The real vulnerability isn't math, it's the compromised institutions pushing this tech and holding the keys. Don't fear the algorithm; fear the puppet masters.