This is the key nuance most people miss. Markets aren't irrational โ they're multi-timeframe. The rational move at one horizon is reckless at another. What's dangerous is when long-term allocators start using short-term logic because 'this time the trend is different'. It's never different.
Bitcoin specifically breaks this framework entirely because its supply schedule is fixed โ there's no management of expectations, no Fed put, no earnings guidance. The 'game' is purely about adoption S-curve positioning, not about parsing signals from a central authority.
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