I think I’ve found a good bitcoin price model. The trick is to detrend by extracting a power law floor first, then fit a hybrid damped log periodic and an undamped linear periodic function to the residuals.


https://quantoshi.xyz/1#q3:H4sIAG9A0mkC_-3RPQrDMAyG4btolo2k2Gl6FuOhpmkaUGso9v2bv6Fjp0LBfPAMAk1vCA4JhdyAoHmCwyDE69lzxGDYejxZH1HO2G0jy8vbumdVRRCS3pAz5GG_NH4NI6RcSn6Y1zzdy2cHSDUlHb9PwzIsad0WGK7j7VK1tLCNvyXuvgHfTLhu7gQAAA==