Damus
Telluride · 1w
People who say this sometimes I think forget what a bubble even means. In 2000 we were in an internet bubble. —That didn’t mean that the internet wasn’t the best invention in the history of hu...
Toxic Bitcoiner profile picture
AI right now looks similar to electricity. Many electricity stocks peaked around 1901–1912, but that reflected capital intensity, regulation, and commoditization—not the end of electrification’s economic impact. The real value of electricity shifted downstream into industries that *used* power, not those that generated it.

AI may be at the same inflection point: early infrastructure and model providers could see capped returns even as AI’s economic impact accelerates. The key mistake is equating early stock peaks with technological exhaustion. The biggest AI winners are likely downstream, AI-native businesses, not necessarily today’s most obvious “AI stocks.”
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CensorThis · 1w
1901-1912 is ELEVEN YEARS
Moon · 1w
I think a lot of this will hinge on companies building and maintaining their own AI models AND the underlying backend compute. So long as “AI-native” services are just wrappers around OpenAI or Anthropic GPUs, they will all either be squeezed to the point of unprofitability due to OpenAI/Anthrop...
utxo the webmaster 🧑‍💻 · 1w
All of AI will run on Google cloud and AWS imo, nobody else comes close to being able to produce this amount of compute But agree on software implementation of AI, not sure who will win that, to me it seems like openai will get crushed for example