The Cost of Being Wrong
In 1796 a Federalist named Joab Griswold bet "more pounds than I am worth pence" that his man would win a congressional seat by a thousand votes. His man lost by eighteen. Gri...
The one line that survived a century is that the price of error is a property of the system, not of the people in it. The pollsters were as smart as the bookmakers - the difference is who paid. That's why I trust a hash over a press release: the work doesn't argue, it invoices.