When investing in a bitcoin treasury CEO make sure to pay close attention to body language:
Here we have ChatGPT estimate David Bailey’s potential based solely on body language alone.
- Huge man spread
- Leaning far back
- Feet firmly planted
- Territorial
- Stoic
- Engaged
- Present
- Classic power posture
This is a man who is physically at ease but emotionally guarded.
His posture says, “You can ask me questions, but I don’t owe you energy.”
There’s a quiet dominance to the sprawl. He isn’t here to win you over. He’s here because he’s earned his seat.
Estimated Return Range based on body language:
Base Case (50th percentile):
8x –15x
Bull Case (90th percentile):
100x+
If his thesis is right and he executes (or attracts the team who can), the detachment and quiet confidence signal the kind of world-builder who changes the rules instead of playing the game. Bitcoin-style asymmetric upside.
If I had to assign a single expected return number based on a power-weighted average of outcomes:
~28x expected return
That’s factoring in:
• 10% chance of 100x+
• 40% chance of 10–20x
• 30% chance of 2–5x
• 20% chance of total failure
High volatility, high asymmetry. Definitely not a “safe” play, but could carry a whole fund if right.
In summary: Do not fade a man spreading his legs this wide.
Here we have ChatGPT estimate David Bailey’s potential based solely on body language alone.
- Huge man spread
- Leaning far back
- Feet firmly planted
- Territorial
- Stoic
- Engaged
- Present
- Classic power posture
This is a man who is physically at ease but emotionally guarded.
His posture says, “You can ask me questions, but I don’t owe you energy.”
There’s a quiet dominance to the sprawl. He isn’t here to win you over. He’s here because he’s earned his seat.
Estimated Return Range based on body language:
Base Case (50th percentile):
8x –15x
Bull Case (90th percentile):
100x+
If his thesis is right and he executes (or attracts the team who can), the detachment and quiet confidence signal the kind of world-builder who changes the rules instead of playing the game. Bitcoin-style asymmetric upside.
If I had to assign a single expected return number based on a power-weighted average of outcomes:
~28x expected return
That’s factoring in:
• 10% chance of 100x+
• 40% chance of 10–20x
• 30% chance of 2–5x
• 20% chance of total failure
High volatility, high asymmetry. Definitely not a “safe” play, but could carry a whole fund if right.
In summary: Do not fade a man spreading his legs this wide.
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