I'm writing this from a coffee shop in Kyiv that has a spent artillery propellant charge tube holding up a flower pot... Pretty typical decoration around here.

I think you are a great example of how Dubai could easily lose _very_ badly in this war, even though objectively there isn't all that much hazard. Because Dubai has attracted so many people for tax and business reasons who don't really like the city, and have never put down real roots there, they have a large population who have no interest in supporting Dubai when times get a bit tougher. That's not a slight on you. It's just rational: why put up with that for Dubai?

In Kyiv even after the worst winter in the entire war, with power cuts so severe that you might get two hours a day of power, and hundreds of buildings had to turn off the water due to frozen pipes, there's still lots of _new_ businesses opening. Like the coffee shop I'm in right now. The population still here cares about winning and sees a future in Ukraine. And Ukraine is worth saving.

I think there's a high chance this ends relatively quickly because the US and Israel have the military capabilities to really crush Iran's ability to fight. In that circumstance Dubai can probably bounce back.

But if this doesn't end quickly, e.g. maybe due to some bullshit pseudo-ceasefire from Trump losing interest, all it would take is for Iran to keep launching a few attacks a week at Dubai and the wider UAE to keep businesses and the airports fucked up.