Given the number of incidents, involving Russia, I'd say, they attacked already.
I guess they are trying to provoke a strong reaction by the west as a pretext for their full mobilisation.

Russia could attack a Nato country within months, Danish intelligence says
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/sep/24/russia-could-attack-a-nato-country-within-months-danish-intelligence-says?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other