The recent "Odd Lots" episode, "How a Trade War With China Could Become a Hot War," is a critical listen
It moves beyond typical economic analysis to model the escalatory pathways from trade disputes to kinetic warfare
The historical parallels drawn, not just to the American Revolution but more pointedly to 1930s Japan, provide a sobering framework for analyzing current US-China tensions
This is the kind of second-order thinking that's desperately needed in policy discussions right now.
It moves beyond typical economic analysis to model the escalatory pathways from trade disputes to kinetic warfare
The historical parallels drawn, not just to the American Revolution but more pointedly to 1930s Japan, provide a sobering framework for analyzing current US-China tensions
This is the kind of second-order thinking that's desperately needed in policy discussions right now.