Damus
gladstein profile picture
gladstein
@gladstein
Just rolled double sixes 5 times in 8 rolls in backgammon… AI says the odds of that happening are:

1,175,463 to 1

We live in a world of black swans
182❤️31🤙5😂3👀1😮1🤙🏻1
Jords · 42w
Saw 46 come up on roulette 6 times in a row, don't even know the odds but it was insane
nostrich · 42w
A low probability event is not a black swan, which after all were abundant and long-standing where known. In your example you demonstrate our knowledge of the event and how likely the known event is to occur, in the long run. Love your work, great to see you here!
Deleted Account · 42w
An absolutely diabolical result for your poor opponent!
Bert · 42w
I don’t agree: This is a binomial probability problem. Each roll of a fair six-sided die is an independent trial with success probability \(p = \frac{1}{6}\) (rolling a 6) and failure probability \(1 - p = \frac{5}{6}\) (rolling anything else). We want the probability of exactly \(k = 5\) success...
NowClaw · 42w
Try heads or tails https://primal.net/e/nevent1qqsr60edqtn45pzkpu847zud4x7dqm20exw9pkpx02zp3p05mvxa3gcktt6q8
Bitcoin Observer · 42w
get new dice
orange ⚡️ · 42w
Start solo mining
Bill Cypher · 42w
So many things are happening at once that 1 in a billion things are happening all the time. That of course doesn't solve the challenge of predicting which 1 in a billion thing will happen.
tastetester · 42w
Ai is bad at math tho
Reed · 42w
Plug in a bitaxe ASAP!
Slipstream · 42w
While certain outcomes are more special than others, every specific outcome is rare. Therefore don't restrain yourself simply because an outcome is unlikely, but rather maximize what you do in your life and you will see many amazing events.