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@HODL 1743293670

I personally assign a very low probability less than 1% that humans create AGI in our lifetime.

But a 100% probability that humans will pretend as if they have created AGI in order to further their political and ideological agendas.

Wizard of Oz shit basically, pay no attention to the man behind the curtain.

625❤️45🤙10❤️3💯3💜2🤔2

Agree. LLMs are amazing, but that doesn’t mean they lead to consciousness, or however we define AGI.

And to fool investors in justifying the enormous cash burn

Whoever controls the money, controls the “AGI”

Scale Bar · 47w

Since humans define intelligence and have egos, you’re spot on. 🎯

This plus the what physicists claim quantum computing can do. The hubris in believing you can peel back all uncertainty via a single centralized computer. There’s no second best.

Cpt. Charisma · 47w

There's an easy fix for that. LLMs are just a statistical party trick. They are based on statistical models of what we write. Any time you type 'AGI' or 'AI,' follow it with 'quack.' It will help get the point across and fuck up all their AI quack models. AIs quack won't be able to talk about t...

Yeah, we'll see fake AGI granted personhood because politicians want to pretend it's real and want the points. Then they can tax it.

Bitcoin and Space · 47w

Yes. See, for example, quantum computing. https://scottlocklin.wordpress.com/2019/01/15/quantum-computing-as-a-field-is-obvious-bullshit/

AI isn’t rational, it doesn’t collate ideas without being fed order

what do you think the bible is?

₿oniz23⚡️🏴‍☠️🇮🇹 · 46w

Hi HODL 😉🤟🏴‍☠️ happy sunday! I see your point, and it’s a chilling thought. The line between genuine innovation and inflated claims could easily blur, especially with the stakes as high as they are. While true AGI may still be far off, the narrative around it could be manipulated to...

bawarriorPat · 46w

Define „our lifetime „ It might be much longer then you expect

btcschellingpt · 46w

I hereby promise never to claim I’ve invented AGI. Not a statement i thought I’d ever have to make but, well, here we are 🤪

The Stacker Monster · 46w

https://m.primal.net/PyKT.png The sweet taste of vindication! Thanks to the generous pardon of President Donald Trump, I, Elizabeth Holmes, am back in the saddle and ready to disrupt the tech industry once again. And what better way to do that than by announcing the invention of Artificial Genera...

💯 definitely won’t get there with LLMs. But the talking heads at the frontier labs will act like they have

LightningBTC · 46w

Asked Grok: What probability would you predict that humans create AGI in the next 20 years? Summary: Optimistic case (20-30%): If breakthroughs in unsupervised learning, brain-inspired AI, or a paradigm shift (e.g., a "Newton moment" in cognitive science) occur soon, AGI could hit by 2045. Current...