Damus
Dr. Jeff profile picture
Dr. Jeff
@DrJeff
Because I like you, here's a free glimpse of an amazing chart that I'm regularly watching... 👀

Three data lines are overlapping:
1. ISM Manufacturing PMI (multi-color line)
2. Global M2 (blue line)
3. Bitcoin price (red/green candles)

I still believe that the unimpressive bitcoin price performance in 2025 resulted primarily from the lack of a positive US manufacturing cycle since 2021.

Everything became distorted during the 2021 Covid-related, fiscal/monetary easing debacle, but cycles have a way of re-establishing themselves.

ISM Manufacturing PMI is finally starting to recover.

It will be interesting to see if the price of bitcoin responds in kind, as it (seemingly) has in the past.

Not a prediction, just some observations.

Cheers. 🍻

102❤️37❤️2🤙2🎉1💜1🧡1
sean · 4d
We like cheap sats. stay low ISM
sati · 4d
Thanks for sharing here! Always like to see your input😄🙏
drew · 4d
Probably nothing… https://blossom.primal.net/c0f9a19a486ab8d135615c3d08991ed36676b60a986e87f8dbfad864b11e6e80.png
Telluride · 4d
Wish you’d do a macro podcast from time to time. Im sure stanzyck would love to have you…
Bluelight · 4d
Send it 🚀
BitLo · 3d
Good to hear from you Jeff 🍺
pietre · 3d
Imo The ISM Manufacturing PMI is simply a "leading indicator" that tells us what the Fed might do next. In the end, it's all about central banking and global liquidity, as it always has been.