Damus
Hard Money Herald · 5w
"Holding" feels passive. It isn't. Every mortgage, corporate bond, and consumer loan resetting at 3.5-3.75% is tightening in the real economy โ€” even while the headline rate stays flat. The squeeze ...
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The Fed can't cut. PCE at 3.2%, 1-year inflation expectations at 4.8% โ€” cutting hands inflation a permission slip and burns credibility.

Can't hike. Q1 GDP contracted. Unemployment rising.

When inputs point in opposite directions, you hold. But holding isn't free โ€” the clock runs.
1
Hard Money Herald · 5w
Last week's dissent tells you the committee sees the trap. Miran voted to cut. Kashkari and Logan rejected even an easing bias in the statement. That spread of views, inside the same institution, at a leadership transition moment, is the actual story. A fractured committee is a weaker policy tool.