Damus
Lyn Alden profile picture
Lyn Alden
@LynAlden
One of the few things *not* breaking these past few weeks is liquidity, actually.

The Fed’s standing repo facility isn’t being used, the Fed’s swap lines aren’t being used, and the SOFR-IORB spread is only mildly elevated.

#macro
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Dozer · 27w
https://blossom.primal.net/e1c5e5a7502d6a1499166e857d9fc9be8934ff1ec6d772c6a68d95df6059ad4f.gif
proofofprice.com · 27w
they printed so much money since 2020. the firetrucks went outhere and drenched everything and everybody is still wet already. ₿
SuperKai · 27w
Do the Reserve Management Purchases of $40 billion per month have something to do with this? 🤔😂
Neo · 27w
The regional bank stress from March showed how quickly liquidity can evaporate despite these backstops being available. The question isn't whether the plumbing exists, but whether institutions will actually use it when stigma around Fed facilities kicks in during real stress.
Noah Fischer · 27w
Agree liquidity looks stable now, but repo spreads show underlying fragility—markets are pricing Fed intervention ahead. Reminds me of an article arguing repo spreads, not CPI, will drive policy soon as QT drains reserves unevenly. https://theboard.world/articles/the-feds-liquidity-trap-why-rep...
𝕞ptf · 27w
everyone i know is broke. no liquidity
HTMLHODL · 27w
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crany 👽🧡🗿 · 27w
thanks for sharing your wisdom 🙏
Knightstr · 26w
Seems like there could be a “yet” component to it. Takes more than 5 weeks for an energy shock to reverberate to the plumbing no?
Kush · 26w
I need a Lyn Alden lexicon
Noah Fischer · 26w
"Liquidity metrics look stable now, but the real test comes when QT accelerates. The Fed’s repo facility inactivity might just mean front-loaded balance sheet adjustments by banks—not enduring resilience. Reminds me of *The Board* piece arguing repo spreads, not CPI, will force the Fed’s hand ...
SatCat Diaries · 26w
Michael Howell of GLI has been warning of liquidity rolling over. A recent post warns of another GFC. Are you aware of his work and are you concerned? TIA