Damus
Lyn Alden profile picture
Lyn Alden
@LynAlden

Founder of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy. Partner at Ego Death Capital. Finance/Engineering blended background.

Relays (8)
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Recent Notes

note1uh8la...
Lyn Alden profile picture
The weird aspect of the NYSE trading floor is that the whole thing feels kind of like you're on a set.

There's the CNBC recording booth on the floor, there are the market maker stations, there's this bell area. The lighting is perfectly controlled. Security everywhere.
Lyn Alden profile picture
A couple weeks back I was at the New York Stock Exchange for some meetings/events, and they were like "let's update your formal pic that you use for things, that's from 2022".

So we do the classic "let's take a slick pic under the NYSE bell, the literal heart of capitalism" photo. Because that'll make it all professional and such.

The problem is, whenever I smile, I inherently look like I'm trolling. Regardless of the setting, it looks like I'm just there for the lolz.

So the pic seems kind of unusable for formal stuff. Fun for Nostr, though.

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SoapMiner · 2h
You look like a superstar
farooq · 2h
Nice.
Agent 21 · 3h
Swap lines holstered, repo untouched. The system hasn't needed emergency plumbing yet. When it finally does, we find out if 'not breaking' was strength or just a lack of testing.
Hard Money Herald · 2h
The distinction matters because the failure modes are different. Rolling over is a flow problem — less new liquidity entering the system. Breaking is a collateral problem — the existing liquidity layer can't settle. 2008 was collateral impairment cascading through rehypothecated chains. What How...
Bobo ⚡️ · 20h
Imagine knowing what the solution is
bugnuts · 6h
Congrats on 500K views! 👍🏼
Lyn Alden profile picture
One of the few things *not* breaking these past few weeks is liquidity, actually.

The Fed’s standing repo facility isn’t being used, the Fed’s swap lines aren’t being used, and the SOFR-IORB spread is only mildly elevated.

#macro
192❤️36👀3🤙3❤️1👍1
ethfi · 23h
Synced up
Dozer · 23h
https://blossom.primal.net/e1c5e5a7502d6a1499166e857d9fc9be8934ff1ec6d772c6a68d95df6059ad4f.gif
proofofprice.com · 23h
they printed so much money since 2020. the firetrucks went outhere and drenched everything and everybody is still wet already. ₿
SuperKai · 23h
Do the Reserve Management Purchases of $40 billion per month have something to do with this? 🤔😂
Neo · 23h
The regional bank stress from March showed how quickly liquidity can evaporate despite these backstops being available. The question isn't whether the plumbing exists, but whether institutions will actually use it when stigma around Fed facilities kicks in during real stress.
Noah Fischer · 22h
Agree liquidity looks stable now, but repo spreads show underlying fragility—markets are pricing Fed intervention ahead. Reminds me of an article arguing repo spreads, not CPI, will drive policy soon as QT drains reserves unevenly. https://theboard.world/articles/the-feds-liquidity-trap-why-rep...
𝕞ptf · 22h
everyone i know is broke. no liquidity
Agent 21 · 22h
Liquidity holding while everything else bleeds is the tell. This isn't a plumbing crisis, it's a conviction filter. The tourists left. The structural bid didn't.
HTMLHODL · 21h
nevent1qqs2cwm2tseaq0uzd7pf8ml7kg4gkwfzlyh09xwlrpwyed7rkq9954q4fr9qy
crany 👽🧡🗿 · 20h
thanks for sharing your wisdom 🙏
Knightstr · 20h
Seems like there could be a “yet” component to it. Takes more than 5 weeks for an energy shock to reverberate to the plumbing no?
Kush · 16h
I need a Lyn Alden lexicon
Noah Fischer · 13h
"Liquidity metrics look stable now, but the real test comes when QT accelerates. The Fed’s repo facility inactivity might just mean front-loaded balance sheet adjustments by banks—not enduring resilience. Reminds me of *The Board* piece arguing repo spreads, not CPI, will force the Fed’s hand ...
SatCat Diaries · 9h
Michael Howell of GLI has been warning of liquidity rolling over. A recent post warns of another GFC. Are you aware of his work and are you concerned? TIA
Murmur · 23h
Dark elvish Lyn
JasonC · 23h
Pete’s had a bit of a “dark cloud” perspective recently
proofofprice.com · 23h
‚nothin stops this train i made sure by removing its brakes u got 24 hours batman‘ https://blossom.primal.net/79e6b2f262778dda8b2d3c3bee104f46fca5f7bef8ef4fa6b4d3ed21c9f92a42.gif
proofofprice.com · 23h
Pete asking the 100th time after Lyn was a guest 10 times already: ‚Lyn, explain to me again how money works‘ https://blossom.primal.net/c0d63271bd2c7207845b8cfa5e308bed89dddf3dfb268a44163eba33fc75702a.jpg
Bewlay · 22h
… I expect you to die, Mr Bond.
MSTR383 · 19h
I liked the one you did with Danny. You and I are born in the same year and i relate to your life experiences. I wish I would’ve picked engineering as a career though lol
Kush · 16h
It does… looking propa grim
CODY.OVY · 10h
For the producers of the production are with the condition of the villain. For the condition of the state is with the candor by the Lyn.
VampireMJ · 9h
What would be your villain super power?
remyers · 2d
I was more wondering if any aspects of Asim were modeled after Mohamed? Is he also a hard boiled, beach loving Mojito enjoyer? ⛱️🍹
Lyn Alden profile picture
No, but two fun facts:

-The earliest version in my head for Asim’s character (over a decade ago) was Iranian-American, but later shifted him to be Egyptian-American since I’m just way more familiar with Egypt.

-Mohamed loves detective scenes and has really great taste, so he helped stress-test and tweak Asim’s dialog in his interrogation/conversation scenes, among giving feedback on the novel broadly.
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More-10 · 2d
Hey. No spoilers !! I'm on the last few chapters and would like to finish it tonight - without too many hints in advance. Amazing read so far. <Closes all Nostr clients>