Damus
Lyn Alden profile picture
Lyn Alden
@LynAlden
MicroStrategy's bitcoin acquisition strategy has been really on-point.

I analyze a lot of stocks and see how they manage their shares. Most companies are rather pro-cyclical in this aspect. They buy back a lot of shares when times are good and shares are expensive, and then when there's a recession they reduce or eliminate their share repurchases, ironically when shares are cheap and it would be better to buy them.

A small percentage of companies have more forward-thinking executives that manage to do this more counter-cyclically. They buy back more shares then they are cheap, and they retain more cash or do other things with their cash when their shares are more expensive.

MicroStrategy has been doing this quite well, except it's about the strategy of issuing shares for bitcoin, which if bitcoin continues to be successful will have more impact overall.

When MicroStrategy wants to buy more bitcoin (which is always), what they seem to be optimizing for is how many bitcoin can they get per share. That's what builds shareholder value in this context. So when MicroStrategy stock is trading at a valuation premium relative to its underlying bitcoin, they can take that opportunity to issue more of these expensive shares, and buy bitcoin with those proceeds. When there is not a valuation premium, they can focus more on just buying bitcoin with incoming cash flow, or exploring other low-cost financing.

So far, they have been really on-point about managing this.

2630❤️60🤙802❤️2👍2🔥2
roya ୨୧ · 116w
is it solely based on the fact they have the funds and wiggle room to make these purchases? really great for them :) (also i know nothing about stocks so)
SatsMan · 116w
🙌
Man₿earPig · 116w
Thanks for elaborating on this!
mattaroo · 116w
Lyn, have you seen a time since MicroStrategy's bitcoin buying began where they have bought back shares? I assume not and that is when they would be buying bitcoin instead, but buying back shares can be a great move.
Darren Easton · 116w
https://image.nostr.build/988f91e8e3cc0a9cec6082e9bfa64db048cbf0e22dfff8e83c9c1ae42db24dc5.jpg
Nathan · 116w
No surprise that you get it too! I feel I’m in good company. https://damus.io/note1fw3nlsj6fyj7gxz4pqk4u2gwqzq2u8kvq88d37kcwk6hnndj2zksld99nt
todmann67 · 116w
This is fascinating to watch. I saw MSTR made a huge purchase so checked their SEC filings and sure enough, they were selling stock. Please write a book analyzing this strategy!
Adel R. · 116w
But wouldn't that put shareholder value at "risk"? and I'm just talking from a business model/growth type of risk...selling shares and the consequent increase in value is more biased towards the underly digital asset as opposed to better / more competitive tech (MSTR products and services) and conse...
N3WD3V · 116w
Ya it's bc they also got in on a high price of BTC right ? So they feel like they have to make up ground.
RealJohnDoe · 116w
No one uses #Bitcoin more intelligently than Michael #Saylor of #MicroStrategy..👏👍🧡😊
OT · 116w
DCA So simple
Eric Gens · 116w
Pretty amazing how much they've been able to accumulate. I thought more companies would start emulating this by now.
MoHodlr · 116w
I have been thinking about MSTR stock performance vs BTC etf . Over time the only way MSTr can outperform the ETF is when the company cash flow is growing faster than the BTC etf . I am making some assumptions , the value of BTC on books is reflected in stock price . As this value dwarfs the rest of...
Scale Bar · 116w
The recent purchase was conducted over the course of November, see blue circle. This clearly lines up with a local above-average ‘peak’ when viewed as Microstrategy stock denominated in Bitcoin (MSTR/BTCUSD). They will continue to do this whenever the market values their stock more. This sanity ...
jimbocoin 🃏 · 116w
🧠
BankSith · 116w
Thanks for your research Lyn 🧡
Jordan · 116w
Hey Lyn, I realize MSTR doesn't charge management fees like an ETF will, plus they use leverage that's not marked to market, giving them a potential advantage over ETFs. Nonetheless, I'm concerned that the demand for MSTR will decline upon approval of an ETF bc I believe some people will just want t...
Operation Libertas · 116w
nostr:npub1s5yq6wadwrxde4lhfs56gn64hwzuhnfa6r9mj476r5s4hkunzgzqrs6q7z called this MacroChadegy and that might be my new favorite term
Luke · 116w
Like Henry Singleton….legend http://csinvesting.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/Dr.-Singleton-and-Teledyne-A-Study-of-an-Excellent-Capital-Allocator.pdf