Less than 10%

I’m not sure, but how many people hold their own keys vs holds BTC in custody? While I’d love for everyone to self custody, the important things is that it is possible, and some significant cohort does. So I think it depends on definitions, since layer 2s may not be fully decentralized, but are...

See nostr:nprofile1qqsqfjg4mth7uwp307nng3z2em3ep2pxnljczzezg8j7dhf58ha7ejgpr9mhxue69uhhxetwv35hgtnwdaekvmrpwfjjucm0d5q3samnwvaz7tmswfjk66t4d5h8qunfd4skctnwv46qu7vtcc above. 100%

yeah but thats the thing - the ACTUAL "people" will be on the decentralized trip. the rest wont be people, but slaves.

I would guess 80% of people will use centralized system for money. But the other 20% will represent most of the economic activities. 🤔

15%

i think the classic 80-20 rule applies here

i go to sleep thinking of this question. once the ux of bitcoin reaches the ux of apple pay & the ux of nostr reaches the ux of instagram maybe it will become more obvious that more freedom = more fun? will there be multiple crypto tribes? or will bitcoin absolutely obliterate everything making ...

In my opinion, on that time scale, It’s binary. If we are not 99/100 percent decentralised in our money and communication, it will be COMPLETELY centralised. Winner take all. 😳

This is a top down VC/investor perspective. I would ask how might we get the next cohort of people onboarded, and what needs to be built to get there.

Over 50% will use centralized systems

If you ask this on Nostr what replies do you expect

I expect similar to what happened to internet: ~70% using Bitcoin but mostly not directly

Over 50% decentralized money Better technology always wins in the end

95% centralized 5% decentralized Unfortunately

Probably around the 50% mark.

50-50 in twenty years

Do we have any estimates of what the ratio is today? Curious

90% centralized.

but isn't the Internet a descentralized system already?

Either 90% or 0%. Bitcoin is ready. Nostr needs a bit of work.

I believe that in a few decades, 90% of transactions will use decentralized money but flow through centralized systems. For everyday use, it’s far more convenient to use a centralized party, as we can already see with custodial Lightning.

Only those forced to do so in closed environments. The dollar is breaking down and debasing real time. When #bitcoin, gold, equities are all moving up and to the right, it’s clear the denominator is broken. We now have the best neutral reserve asset available to mostly everyone so decentralized pr...

P.T. Barnum said that "people like to be humbugged". The pro-wrestling arena of politics and social communication favors a majority stake in centralized platforms. 15% will exit and maybe that can grow to 25%.

nostr:npub1pm5z0gmw3wcvl3yreuv8y7q3stz2zmzc4jar4ckhk927qdcwjwuq3txe07 what Bayesian theory answers to Lyn Question here

No one imo

Likely 70–85% of global users will still rely mainly on centralized financial systems. Expect 60–80% of users to remain on centralized platforms.

nostr:nprofile1qqsqa6p85dhghvx0cjpu7xrj0qgc939pd3v2ew36uttmz40qxu8f8wq8vdeta tell em

I think it will always oscillate between times of higher centralization and higher decentralization across a spectrum of emerging technologies

Somewhere, the Pareto principle fits in here, but I don’t think that if and when we do get to the 80% it will be because of influence, but of necessity. The best feature of a decentralized design is the resilience of the network. I will be talking about this and community building next weekend at...

My guess is that it will take a bit longer than a couple of decades.

100% although usage of decentralized may be higher

I think most of the people who are alive today will stay chained to their banks and governments. They’ll trade their liberty for comfort. A new generation, smarter and exposed to more hardship will use the new tools, open networks, sound money, and they’ll be the ones holding the power when the...