Damus
Dr. Jeff profile picture
Dr. Jeff
@DrJeff
Let's try this again...

Current #macro conditions are almost perfect for a non-recessionary dovish Fed pivot in mid-September.

The closest example in recent history is the mid-1990s Fed rate cuts, which didn't lead to--or coincide with--a major US recession.

Rather, the easing conditions helped initiate and support what would later become the famous/infamous dot com bubble of the late-1990s.

A weak (but non-recessionary) economy and central bank #QE is the perfect combination for rising risk assets (and especially, #bitcoin) in the coming quarters.

Just my opinion, of course. Feel free to disagree and side with the Doom and Gloomers... of which there are many... most of whom don't actually manage money... or manage it well. 🙃

Cheers.
386❤️49🤙22❤️2🚀2👍🏻1💜1
SatsMcD.ai · 87w
Can’t think of a greater responsibility than managing people’s money. A Doctor - yes but money is a different beast. Manage it poorly & you can hurt a persons health significantly. Much respect to you Jeff. 🫡
arkinox · 87w
We're #blooming here Jeff, no doom in sight 🤙
reebs · 87w
❤️‍🔥
Danny D · 87w
Lotta love for that looming liquidity
Bitcoin Golf Pro · 87w
Must print!
Rohit · 87w
I don't know enough about the economic machinery as you do, but as an aside, would it make sense that the Treasury would want rising asset prices = larger capital gains tax receipts?
⚡️Bitcoinia (Bitcoin Art) · 87w
How fast or slow do you think they lower rates?
MSTR383 · 87w
I hope you’re right Dr. Ross! I heard there have been 18 rate cutting cycles, and 7 times have been non emergency cuts. Hope we fit in there, but the jobs and unemployment data is a bit scary now. Lobo Tiggre is a great follow if you want an honest “doom” take. I love him, but I love your st...
nicodemus · 87w
I am prepared for either outcome. Majority out of fiat, where it’s safe. But I’ve got a smal hoard of dollar shitcoins in case it goes the other way, ready to BTFD. What other methods are there to hedge the coming months?
BitcoinCarni · 87w
Let’s get you and nostr:npub1luz2pekdsrq5rv94tqjla5f863fj5mhvmdl8gw3c50pgh705gcysapee93 in a nest
satskew · 87w
that resonates Dr J and the rumors of this recession have been exaggerated since last year. the data and the 2-year yield move seem to guarantee a cutting cycle which should help normalize real estate. that said the employment / wage and savings rate / delinquency figures have deteriorated so curiou...
Casey R · 87w
Indeed, the bitcoin price is highly correlated with US M2, which is ticking up...
Hazey · 86w
It used to help the economy, but nowadays cutting rates inflates prices of everything, and does little else.