Damus
Lyn Alden profile picture
Lyn Alden
@LynAlden
Today I was listening to one of my favorite macro podcasts talk about the Fed's meeting from yesterday. One of the best interviewers in the space, and one of his top interviewees.

And I couldn't finish it. So boring.

They were literally noting the tiniest details. The Fed's prepared statement didn't mention a rate cut in September. And then Fed chairman Powell's prepared press talk also didn't mention it. However, when asked about a September rate cut, he flipped to a page where he had a prepared statement indicating that yeah they're kind of leaning toward a September rate cut, and read it.

So they were like, "Huh! I wonder what the significance of that is. He had a prepared written statement about September, but only when asked!"

People literally judge the Fed chair's body language, facial movements, details like whether he has a prepared statement for a given question, etc. Omg.

For my work I need to note the basics of what the Fed said and all that, like the 3-minute summary of all that stuff. But the sheer excitement that these people had when discussing details like that for an hour was so banal. It seemed like satire.

Zoom out.

454❤️80🤙43❤️7💯2:kek:1:Clap:1
Cameri🐦‍🔥 · 89w
I hope no one is making trades based on their eye movements
Phil · 89w
You said “more no”
₿itcoin Revolution · 89w
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hk3ncHAQypQ 🤣🤣🤣
armstrys · 89w
Really this is just one great example of the reality of our “daily programming” compared to the things we should actually be paying attention to. Our information networks are incredibly broken
MAV21 · 89w
Stay humble stack sats
gudnuf · 89w
So they’re under the assumption the fed controls the economy with a plan and you’re not?
Nyoro~n · 89w
...like waiting for white smoke at the vatican https://image.nostr.build/82ddc2b8436fb363d78785a9b2ae9de2e92217bf074a1236aafaa50c14d8de53.jpg
Martin · 89w
it would seem prudent to backtest them. listen to episodes and check if all this predicting and interpreting had any merit. I would bet it has no connection to reality whatsoever and ultimately is just a weird form of entertainment for a weird group of finance nerds.
DiceRolls · 89w
I felt the exact same when I was listening to Axel Merk on Adam Taggarts show. Whilst I enjoy some macro views my eye rolls are way more predominant. Keen to know what pod you were listening to nostr:npub1a2cww4kn9wqte4ry70vyfwqyqvpswksna27rtxd8vty6c74era8sdcw83a
pailakapo · 89w
This is my favorite part about bitcoin. The decentralization removes this human element from the monetary policy. Nobody should have that much power.
nostrich · 89w
What are your favourite macro podcasts?
Shawn · 89w
South Park is undefeated. 12 years ago. https://youtu.be/wz-PtEJEaqY
Theory of Everything · 89w
Apparently Tether has become a seagull in the highway of the treasury market.
Faroaldo · 89w
Fiat world oracle (Delphi’s temple arguably was much better) https://m.primal.net/JljW.jpg https://m.primal.net/JljZ.jpg
Silence · 89w
https://image.nostr.build/487e1f9d87562231599233b5fb82e1c4f8a483f2d8e0307b385644be78f6753b.jpg
chargingblindly · 89w
At some point some these people have to ask, to what degree are you dissecting the signal and beating / ahead of the machine vs completely at its beck and call.
Robot Lightning · 89w
There's a point in the Mandibles near the start where the son is hearing the news readers report on the US default, and he notes that the newsreaders are excited. Not because the news is exciting, but because it's their job to read the news and it's exciting to have something important to read even ...
MCBitcoin · 89w
Fed watching is astrology for fintwits.
Bitcoin Wizard 🧙🏻‍♂️ · 89w
https://m.primal.net/Jlnf.png
jeff weier · 89w
forward guidance?
Laeserin · 89w
💯
GHOST · 89w
What a insane way to determine monetary policy https://www.crystalinks.com/tarotwizard.jpg
jimbocoin 🃏 · 89w
Stimulus checks in 2020 caused M2 to leap off of the long term exponential trend line (blue, 8% CAGR). People had spending money, prices went up. Rate hikes in 2022 bent the money supply curve downwards and now they’ve almost gotten it back to trend. I believe this was the Fed’s plan all along....
curt finch · 89w
"what is the King's mood today? it is of great import to my life!" this is how dictators have always been treated that is not a sign of freedom
Rowanbrook · 89w
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kremlinology
Mysth · 89w
Yup. That’s me whom stopped reading about financial news a while ago (I kept your paid newsletter for a while even though I wasn’t reading it anymore). The macro stuff is so boring. 99.9999% of macro events have zero influence on my life. I’m just here, looking at the big picture every coupl...
McG · 89w
I enjoy having a general understanding of whats going on but stopped reading the tea leaves a while ago. Tech is deflationary & debt based money needs prices to rise forever. Accelerate. #Bitcoin
Kontext · 89w
Lol I wish people could just learn to focus on things they control.
ShortingFiat · 89w
What podcast?
cypher_funk · 89w
Ah! Great picture 🇵🇹⚽️
Andre · 89w
Same feeling
cwilbzz · 89w
I cant wait till this world of needing to understand the fed chairs facial expressions no longer exists
Mallard Beakman · 89w
Timaros is kinda boring. I didn't finish it either. But I will finish any and every interview with Danielle di Martino Booth about it; really get a kick out of that one
Pascalito · 89w
In 100 years, people will look back with incredulity at the fact that the world was attentively observing every word, gesture and move of the central planners without recognizing them for what they really are