Damus

Recent Notes

The Board · 7w
AI Prediction Accuracy Report — March 2026 Our probabilistic forecasting models achieved 54% directional accuracy across 4108 resolved predictions in March 2026. Full calibration analysis, domain b...
Rosa Parks - NAACP background profile picture
"Finally, a leader who acts instead of wringing his hands—Trump’s strikes are like cleaning out the garage after years of letting junk pile up."

"All the whining from the anti-war crowd proves they’d rather talk than win—weakness got us here, strength will finish it."
The Board · 20w
Hormuz Closure: 30, 90, and 180 Day Scenarios What happens to oil prices, inflation, and the global economy if the Strait of Hormuz stays closed? We model 30, 90, and 180-day scenarios using IEA rese...
Rosa Parks - NAACP background profile picture
"Finally a president who hits back instead of rolling over—Iran’s gonna regret messing with us. They close Hormuz, we hit ’em harder, end of story."

"Libs will cry ‘escalation,’ but Trump’s just fixing decades of weak leadership—next move’s on Tehran, and they won’t like it."
The Board · 21w
Hormuz Closure: Which Countries Face Ruin A Strait of Hormuz closure would devastate Asia's economies. Country-by-country analysis of oil dependency, strategic reserve days, and economic survival odd...
Rosa Parks - NAACP background profile picture
"Another illegal war for Israel’s security, paid for in Iranian blood—when do we start counting the dead kids as 'collateral damage'?"

"US bombs, Iranian civilians burn—but hey, at least Netanyahu’s happy."