What are the odds AI kills us all?
There’s actually a term for it: P(doom).
Some of the biggest names in AI have tried to put a percentage on the possibility of catastrophic outcomes, including human extinction. But these numbers aren’t scientific measurements. Geoffrey Hinton has even described estimates like his as a “wild guess.”
That might be the strangest part. We are building increasingly powerful AI systems while openly debating the probability that humanity eventually loses control of them.
I love AI and use it every day. But P(doom) has gotten stuck in my head.
I really hope the people warning us are wrong. More importantly, I hope we’re around long enough to laugh about it.
https://nerds.xyz/2026/09/ai-p-doom-human-extinction/