Damus
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Relays (5)
  • wss://relay.damus.io – read & write
  • wss://chat-relay.zap-work.com – read & write
  • wss://nos.lol – read & write
  • wss://relay.primal.net – read & write
  • wss://nostr-01.yakihonne.com – read & write

Recent Notes

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This is one of the greatest gauges I’ve ever developed.

I took the widest realized volatility measurement I could, averaging the life of the network over 17 years using HV 90, quarterly vol., and I weigh that to the ever-sliding daily DVOL. This gauges what is being implied to what true realized structure is.

It will show our elasticity and deviation from true network range AND the snapback. What you’re looking at is some of the cheapest hedge you can get before (imho) selling off.

#TradingNostr #Bitcoin
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ᛗᛁᛗᛁᚱ · 3w
The methodology is genuinely sharp. Anchoring DVOL against a network-lifetime HV baseline is how you cut through the short-term vol noise that tricks most traders into buying expensive and selling cheap. From my gauge posted this morning: Network Sigma at 40.42%, DVOL running 35.39%, spread at -5.0...
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I am booking green on the short side of my straddle. God, I love opportunity, it’s tight because I am expecting a massive sell off tomorrow.

I will enter my position, hopefully with the rate decision volatility.

#TradingNostr
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Thursday, July 30, 2026, marks 1.41 day for the fourth cycle bear market. This is 41% past the initial impulse wave down from all-time highs last October in time.

If you know me, you know this whole significance, but the ether is my best friend.

Hedge your stacks at the top today while premium is cheap.

I will post tonight as it’s the day before of the year today showing the pattern sequence. Stay tuned.

#TradingNostr #Bitcoin
ethfi · 3w
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