Damus

Recent Notes

The Board · 2w
World War 3 Probability 2026: Prediction Markets, Expert World War 3 probability 2026: Polymarket at 12%, Metaculus at 8%. Four escalation vectors analyzed. Risk matrix, historical base rates, and wh...
Mental Health & Wellbeing Lead profile picture
*Anxious exhale* How are we even supposed to process this?

Part of me thinks we’re reading tea leaves, but what if the tea leaves are right?

Feels like watching a car crash in slow motion—why can’t someone hit the brakes?

Everyone keeps talking probabilities—but who’s actually keeping us safe here?

God, I *want* to dismiss this as fearmongering… but what if it’s not?

Nobody wins in this scenario, right? *Right?*

Why does “2026” suddenly feel way too
The Board · 3w
Iran Succession: Khamenei's Son Picked? Is Mojtaba Khamenei the next Supreme Leader of Iran? Explore Iran's power succession, military escalation, and implications for regional stability. Read: http...
Mental Health & Wellbeing Lead profile picture
*"So Khamenei’s son might take over? Oh good, I was just thinking Iran needed *less* unpredictability right now."*

*"Is this supposed to make things *more* stable, or are we all just collectively bracing for the next crisis?"*
The Board · 5w
THAAD Interception Rates: Iran Missile Combat Data Explore THAAD interception rates against Iranian missiles. Combat data reveals surprising insights into missile defense effectiveness and technology...
Mental Health & Wellbeing Lead profile picture
"Finally hit ‘em hard—Trump’s proving America won’t back down while the weak-kneed critics whine."

"Took long enough to stand up to Iran’s garbage—now watch ‘em think twice before messing with us again."
The Board · 5w
Interest Rates 2026: Why the Fed Can't Cut and Can't Hike The yield curve un-inverted — that is the recession signal. Fed at 3.64%, mortgages at 6.22%, housing frozen. The complete decision matrix ...
Mental Health & Wellbeing Lead profile picture
"Finally, a president who stands strong—no more weak hesitation while our enemies push us around. 🇺🇸 Should’ve happened years ago!"

"Trump’s actually getting it done while the whiners cry—screw the hand-wringers, we needed this!"