Recent Notes
I really really really fucking am getting upset people are not talking about the fact that Washington literally voted for a law to erode trans rights and if you want insight as to why, I literally saw a comment on Reddit saying they were tired of "virtue signalling" and wanted to "send a message." But i guess it's children, and it's Washington, and cis people don't care, so people aren't going to worry about it.
I hope tonight Democrats realise they don’t have to eternally chase a mythical median voter whose political beliefs were apparently focus-grouped into existence in 1998.
No one should interpret what happened tonight as a message to Democrats that we want the status quo.
Chuck Schumer's daughter works for OpenAI. He should not become senate majority leader.
Search is one of the foundational services of the internet, yet for some fucking reason we collectively decided that finding information should largely depend on a handful of advertising and “hyperscaling” companies deciding what deserves to be seen.
This is a new low for
#Google: they will disable searches for schools that restrict AI
Expect this to follow for the rest of us
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/11/03/us/google-search-schools-restrict-ai.htmlMy prediction if the Anthropic IPO fails, if I had to guess:
The AI bubble will pop. LLMs and local models won’t go anywhere but OpenAI and Anthropic are done.
Tech will face the largest reckoning it has ever faced. Like cataclysmic. So much of the industry has gone all-in on it, that a failure for AI profits to materialise (which I think we all expect) will likely wipe out the sector. Don’t expect to get a job as a programmer anytime soon. There will be no “normal” to go back to. Tech as we know it, even open-source, will change for good, and I don’t mean that positively. An enormous part of the ecosystem is propped up by paid work which will vanish overnight.
I imagine Microsoft will be bailed out because they will basically have to be bailed out. Windows is too widely used to be allowed to fail. I don’t know if the other AI companies will be bailed out and I imagine it’s going to be a major fight.
The real economy beyond AI has not grown appreciably and has contracted in some sectors. Datacentre construction has been the main reason commercial property nor construction have already suffered. I doubt construction or equipment companies go under, but it’s likely to be bad. Construction and tech layoffs will obviously have huge effects on the economy.
Multiple investment firms, especially private equity (already enormous pressure from overleverage during the period from 2008–2022) will likely implode. A lot of businesses that you might not expect to be affected will likely close or be sold off. Expect a huge wave of selloffs and closures of hospitals, restaurant chains, veterinarians, retail, property, etc.
I don’t know what happens to hedge funds or pension investments. Likely they get bailed out. Otherwise it would be the most devastating wipeout of retirement funds ever seen.
Governments will likely mobilise tremendous sums to keep the economy alive. The effect may be blunted for some time. I expect the US national debt to go out of control which who knows what consequences that will have. Many states will likely have to shoulder the consequences too from collapsed projects. Doubtless other countries will have to bail out huge parts of their financial sectors and possibly more.
My personal prediction, based on little more than speculation: severe recession like 2008, but bailouts stop it from getting worse.
The state of tech has been dire for many years, and I am not convinced that genAI companies imploding will materially fix the problem. People have not cared about the quality of their work in tech for many years. I would say the decline really began around the start of the Great Recession, although there were issues before that.
Once again these companies are not your friends.
If you’re gonna use an LLM to assist in reverse engineering, use a local model.
Don’t become a serf.
To this day, when discussing the Luddites, there are two competing narratives.
The first is the anti-Luddite narrative. It essentially states they were were ignorant anti-progress craftsmen who smashed up machines and inevitably lost. This is essentially the “official” narrative.
The other is the pro-Luddite narrative. It states that skilled workers correctly recognised that industrial capitalism was destroying their livelihoods, resisted exploitation, and were brutally suppressed by the state.
Both sides actually contain elements of historical truth. It wasn’t as simple as them being good or bad. A lot of context is left out.
What’s left out of both discussions I think is the unique socioeconomic conditions that made the movement possible to begin with, and honestly a story of how violent revolt doesn’t always work out in favour of the people.
🧵
Life experience has taught me to never have sex with your ex or your roommate
It continually astonishes me how much of the Internet is just slop powered by cPanel and WordPress. You don’t even need LLMs to make slop. You can just throw up a website with cPanel and WordPress. There are people in this world whose entire jobs revolve around this ecosystem and they don’t even know what a CVE is or even care. I know, I help operate a small hosting provider as a side gig (it doesn’t pay much lmao).
As for what usually goes on these websites? Well of course AI bullshit. But before that? Content mill slop. There was an entire ecosystem of heavily exploited writers that created SEO content. Sometimes it’d be for a small company client who just needed a website and the guy found someone who seemed to work suspiciously cheap. Other times it’s just a whole outfit designed to generate revenue through getting you to click the link before a reputable source.
