John Galt is Prometheus who changed his mind. After being torn by vultures for bringing men fire, withdrew his fire—until the day when men withdrew their vultures.
That sats per share figure doesn’t take into account the senior claims on the Bitcoin (I.e. from debt + prefs)
It’s still a useful metric tho. The senior claims are denominated in fiat. So (if you’re a bitcoiner you might assume they’ll) tend in the long run to zero against the bitcoin
CEBE sats per share subtracts the senior claims. It’s at ~140k sats rn which is below the current share price. https://cebetracker.io/company/MSTR/
If you buy MSTR thinking you’re gonna outperform BTC by the end of the year. Sure you might get fucked. If you’re time horizon is 5-10 years, today is a much better entry than last summer
They are *categorically* nowhere near close to having to “reneg on the dividends”
If you actually look at the numbers… they have about 30 years of dividend coverage. I.e. Bitcoin could drop ~70% from here & it would still take about a decade for them to run out of money
They can comfortably afford to pay the dividend & raise it by a % or two to get it back to par.
They can sell BTC / MSTR to fund divys, which might be dilutive to the common in the short term. But BTC yield YTD is at 12.5%. What more could you ask for in a bear market 🤷♂️
Honestly, BTC yield could go negative for a year & it wouldn’t invalidate the business model