Damus

Recent Notes

Tracking Token Disrespector · 7w
🤖 Tracking strings detected and removed! 🔗 Clean URL(s): https://open.spotify.com/track/7reU7uffBHucKNL9tI8JYt ❌ Removed parts: ?si=migKZ3uLRN-Ds-7JSIEjJQ
The Tim · 6w
Makes sense.. Follow the money.. 💸
Lyn Alden · 17w
As long as borrowing stress remains elevated, many asset prices are likely to remain choppy. This is why the Fed is ending balance sheet reduction, but simply ending it is not necessarily sufficient....
karlo profile picture
I do not understand the mismatch between global M2 liquidity, which is trending upward, and the apparent problems with bank and repo market liquidity. I would have expected M2 liquidity to play a larger role in asset prices than the latter (which is why I was completely blindsided by the current carnage); why was this not the case?

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Lyn Alden · 17w
This is base liquidity, not broad liquidity. Broad liquidity is still pretty good, but AI stocks and gold have been the biggest beneficiaries this year rather than bitcoin. A lot of people bought bitcoin last year due to expectations about a sovereign bitcoin reserve and things like that, and those...
jack mallers · 28w
ethereum is a scam. bitcoin is money. long live bitcoin. https://blossom.primal.net/6c7e8ebfec72cc82e471db46617292f53b9614ba9b2c32abfbadf8bf21deef0a.mp4
karlo profile picture
1/ I’m pro-Bitcoin. But let’s be honest: network effects are the strongest force in money and platforms—and they can shift.

2/ In 2004, almost no one could forecast Facebook’s eventual dominance. Likewise, we can’t predict how Bitcoin vs. Ethereum network effects will evolve with high confidence.

3/ Different design bets shape those effects:
• Bitcoin: minimal surface area, monetary credibility, slow/rare changes (“ossification”).
• Ethereum: programmability + faster upgrade cadence (L2s, account models, hard forks).
Both attract users/devs for different reasons.

4/ Quantum risk (today): big, fault-tolerant quantum computers would threaten current signature schemes.
– Bitcoin: secp256k1 (ECDSA) for transactions.
– Ethereum: most accounts use secp256k1; validators use BLS12-381.
None of these are quantum-safe.

5/ Path to mitigation: migrate to post-quantum signatures (e.g., lattice or hash-based). Coordination is the bottleneck, not math. Systems with more centralized/streamlined governance can usually ship such upgrades faster; highly decentralized systems move slower by design. That’s a real trade-off, not a value judgment.

6/ I still favor Bitcoin for monetary neutrality and resilience. But network effects are dynamic, and upgrade agility vs. governance risk is the core tension. Anyone claiming certainty about the end state is overconfident.

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