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War Monitor
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Breaking news | Geopolitics | War monitoring

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Recent Notes

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Chances that normal shipping traffic returns to the Strait of Hormuz by the end of April has plummeted in the last 48 hours, down over 30% currently sitting at around 44%, following a number of strikes by Iran on cargo vessels and oil tankers near the Strait, as well as an attack overnight on two tankers off the coast of Iraq.
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fade2 · 16h
This is a funky prediction query. How do you define normal?
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According to the United States Department of Energy, Donald Trump has authorized the release of 172 million barrels of oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve as part of a multilateral effort to stabilize global energy markets.

The oil is expected to begin flowing next week and will take roughly 120 days to fully deliver.

The release represents over 40% of the current crude supply held in the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve.

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Adam Dunlap ⚡️ · 13h
I think USA uses like…. 20M barrels a day?
BitLo · 16h
War Monitor don’t sleep. Even tornado aren’t safe from his reporting.
Philipp · 19h
Detailed cost overview, public for each citizen please. Since one is forced to pay taxes and debased into oblivion to fund this exercise nostr:nevent1qqs8jpgsshlyw7q50zndgd33gnl97ycewav9lynej6k2xk4sp...
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Fair point — taxpayers deserve transparency. For context, the $11.3B figure is just the first estimate for the first 6 days of the war and reportedly doesn’t include many costs like the buildup of forces before the strikes, so the real total will likely be higher as calculations continue.
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Black smoke is rising near Bahrain International Airport after a fire broke out following reports of an Iran drone strike targeting fuel tanks at a facility on Muharraq Island in Bahrain.

9x9 Bertha Returns · 17h
John Wick vibes
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Donald Trump criticized Gavin Newsom, claiming that a recent interview had effectively ended Newsom’s chances of becoming the presidential nominee for the Democratic Party.

In response, Newsom fired back, calling Trump a “brain-dead moron who bombs children and protects pedophiles.”

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United States Central Command (CENTCOM) has released footage showing recent strikes on aircraft belonging to the Islamic Republic of Iran Air Force at Ayatollah Hashemi Rafsanjani Airport in Kerman, southeastern Iran.

The video appears to show the destruction of several fixed-wing aircraft on the ground, including a C-130H Hercules, a P-3F Orion, and a Ilyushin Il-76 transport aircraft. The strikes are part of the broader campaign targeting Iranian military infrastructure and air assets across the country.

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War Monitor · 17h
Reporter: Have you been briefed about how many Iran sleeper cells there could be inside the United States right now? Donald Trump: “I have been. We’ve got our eye on all of them. I think.” ht...
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Context: U.S. law enforcement recently circulated a bulletin warning that Iran had considered retaliatory drone attacks against targets in California, possibly launched from a vessel offshore, though officials said there is no confirmed imminent threat.
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Reporter: Have you been briefed about how many Iran sleeper cells there could be inside the United States right now?

Donald Trump:

“I have been. We’ve got our eye on all of them. I think.”

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War Monitor · 17h
Context: U.S. law enforcement recently circulated a bulletin warning that Iran had considered retaliatory drone attacks against targets in California, possibly launched from a vessel offshore, though officials said there is no confirmed imminent threat.