Damus
MarjorieR profile picture
MarjorieR
@MarjorieR

Retired Operational Researcher/Statistician/Economist.
Worked in Energy Industries/University/Civil Service. Most recently producing UK Energy & Emissions Projections.
GNU/Linux user since 1993 (kernel 0.99).
Now on Devuan Daedalus/Cinnamon (kernel 6.1).
Rower, cyclist, dingy sailor, walker, skier.
Socialist, bi, poly, she/her.
Fully paid up member of the Guardian reading, tofu eating Wokerati.

Relays (1)
  • wss://relay.ditto.pub – read & write

Recent Notes

Milcom Miasma · 3w
nostr:nprofile1qy2hwumn8ghj7un9d3shjtnyd968gmewwp6kyqpqwyu5tn758hc399kq7z0gcf0s4tqxs8z8rn2me5672pnks4429s2ssnxult True and true. But for a single conversation with someone who had the ear of the then vice-president, we could have lost the republic on Jan 6th 2021, when he could have chosen not to...
MarjorieR profile picture
"Labour ‘not looking to raise taxes to fund benefits’ as Mandelson messages suggest, Cabinet Office minister Nick Thomas-Symonds has said."

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/jun/02/labour-not-looking-to-raise-taxes-to-fund-benefits-minister-says-after-whatsapp-messages-revealed

I don't think anyone with half a brain has thought for one moment that LINO have had the slightest intention to raise taxes to fund benefits. Quite the reverse. Especially not raising taxes on the rich.
MarjorieR profile picture
I wonder what Warren Buffet is thinking now that he's passed on the reins?

This only makes sense if Berkshire Hathaway expect Google will mop up what remains of the GenAI market once OpenAI and Anthropic crash and burn.

"Google owner Alphabet to sell $80bn in stock to fund AI spending spree

One of largest equity fundraisings ever includes $10bn share sale to US investment group Berkshire Hathaway."

https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2026/jun/02/google-alphabet-sell-stock-ai-share-sale-berkshire-hathaway

For Google its obviously a case of if you're in a hole keep digging.
@[email protected] has moved · 4w
To the sceptics among us the rash of prospective Initial Public Offerings from AI-related enterprises reflect not so much confidence in the future of AI & related technologies bit rather the actions o...
MarjorieR profile picture
@nprofile1q... not just fools.
They have just rigged the rules for adding these IPOs to the NASDAQ so that otherwise conservative index funds are likely to be forced to buy them. Thy are also changing the rules allowing SpaceX to list with only a very small percentage of stock available for investors to buy, so rigging the market.
So a lot of ordinary individuals holding index funds in their portfolio will get sucked in and no doubt beggared as both SpaceX (really mostly a profitable but unsustainable telecom satellite company harnessed to unprofitable rocket launch company) and the two grossly overvalued GenAI companies (OpenAI and Anthropic) that are never likely to turn any sort of profit ever.
So surely surely the price of these shares is going to crash and burn (like Starlink satellites do) before too long.
These IPO are just there as opportunities fro there initial VC investors (and Musk) to cash out.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/garthfriesen/2026/04/25/spacex-ipo-is-forcing-changes-to-index-and-underwriting-rules/
Lesley Lai · 4w
nostr:nprofile1qy2hwumn8ghj7un9d3shjtnyd968gmewwp6kyqpqwyu5tn758hc399kq7z0gcf0s4tqxs8z8rn2me5672pnks4429s2ssnxult nostr:nprofile1qy2hwumn8ghj7un9d3shjtnyd968gmewwp6kyqpq6gdzwy72fqd2ax0cxfq37tszrpv9608g00h2r4dqf7xx3sgn0asscr2ly3 https://cdn.masto.host/mastodongamedevplace/media_attachments/files/116...
@[email protected] has moved · 4w
So, in a bid to deflect media attention from the £5m gift from a crypto-billionnaire that has been causing the Fascist Frog (or Clacton Conman if you prefer) some difficulty, he now claims that the p...
MarjorieR profile picture
@nprofile1q... well I think it unlikely the Russians would want to undermine one of their principal UK chaos agents. Surprised he didn't accuse Starmer and the Met of doing it.

But irrespective, who cares how or by whom he got found out taking bribes and is now serially being found out coming up with a sequence of different and inconsistent lies as each one is refuted in turn?
Randahl Fink · 5w
Over on the disinformation platform, its owner Elon Musk claims “Hitler was a socialist, therefore all socialists are Hitler”. This post got 111 million views and apart from his claim being factu...
MarjorieR profile picture
@nprofile1q... apart from the claim "Hitler was a socialist" being untrue the sylogism fails anyway.

"A is a B" doesn't imply "all B are A".

"Wolves are Animals" doesn't imply "all Animals are Wolves".

But then Elon (and presumably his followers) were never great at logic.
@[email protected] has moved · 5w
nostr:nprofile1qy2hwumn8ghj7un9d3shjtnyd968gmewwp6kyqpqwyu5tn758hc399kq7z0gcf0s4tqxs8z8rn2me5672pnks4429s2ssnxult That's a fair Q.; although actually that sort of profit shifting (tax planning) is l...
MarjorieR profile picture
@nprofile1q... by number or by salience? Large MNC are very big and visible in the economy. I note the survey doesn't actually ask the general public to estimate the profitability of your local greengrocer.

More to the point I don't think the general public has much of a handle on company profit/revenue ratios as is clear from the range and realism of the answers.

As a former economist maybe I ought to have a better handlle on this, but I don't have much of a clue either, except knowing that supermarkets only have a P/R in low single digits. I would be inclined to decline to attempt to come up with figures if were to be asked by the IEA but I suspect most people just make a wild guess based on how exploitative they feel a particular industry seems.

But then current economic orthodoxy is based on the assumption that all economic actors have perfect knowledge (not true, of course), so setting up a survey like this is consistent with that viewpoint, especially as it can then be then used to attempt to justify their partisan lobbying against increasing corporate tax and stamping out avoidance.
@[email protected] has moved · 5w
nostr:nprofile1qy2hwumn8ghj7un9d3shjtnyd968gmewwp6kyqpqwyu5tn758hc399kq7z0gcf0s4tqxs8z8rn2me5672pnks4429s2ssnxult I agree with most of that; I think the only interesting point is that people *don't*...
MarjorieR profile picture
@nprofile1q... normal profits?
The big, particularly overseas, companies have well established tricks (such as license fees and transfer prices) to minimise declared UK profits. So why should the general public understand figures that are heavily distorted anyway?

https://social.linux.pizza/deck/@[email protected]/114356686820335404
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@[email protected] has moved · 5w
nostr:nprofile1qy2hwumn8ghj7un9d3shjtnyd968gmewwp6kyqpqwyu5tn758hc399kq7z0gcf0s4tqxs8z8rn2me5672pnks4429s2ssnxult That's a fair Q.; although actually that sort of profit shifting (tax planning) is largely the preserve of large MNCs, not the bulk of firms in the UK
@[email protected] has moved · 5w
Whatever you think about the levels of profitability in the UK's economy, one thing is clear voters are vastly over-estimating how much firms make in profits.... but perhaps most telling (in this misu...
MarjorieR profile picture
@nprofile1q... I think most people have no experience of seeing or using company profit percentages as asked in this survey. Clearly evidenced by the attribution of profits to the NHS. Of course there are plenty of very profitable private companies providing goods and services to the NHS and other government organisations.

Company profit rates don't have any relevance to the question of raising the (corporation) tax rate that is applied as a percentage of whatever the profit actually declared. Trying to draw conclusion about this using this survey is gaslighting by the IEA.

And this is ignoring, of course, all the legal subterfuges and legal fiddles that larger companies, in particular, are currently allowed to use to reduce their declared taxable profits in the UK.
1
@[email protected] has moved · 5w
nostr:nprofile1qy2hwumn8ghj7un9d3shjtnyd968gmewwp6kyqpqwyu5tn758hc399kq7z0gcf0s4tqxs8z8rn2me5672pnks4429s2ssnxult I agree with most of that; I think the only interesting point is that people *don't* have any real idea what 'normal' profits might be.... yes, they are subject to all kinds of gaming ...
MarjorieR profile picture
Trump, social media post:
“Now, the United States is the hottest Nation anywhere in the world, and hopefully our relationship with China will be stronger and better than ever before!”

Maybe it would actually be a good idea for the USA to cool down a bit?

But that would require going back to buying solar panels from China and stop going all out on drilling for oil drilling and bringing back pollution controls.