Mike Dilger ☑️
· 5d
The US is oil independent. And they are willing to take a lot of pain to stay on top, even if it means the whole world takes a lot of pain. Military primacy supercedes other concerns. I think taking ...
USA is only theoretically independent, most of the USA imports its oil, and most of the native oil is close to the Mexican gulf and is immediately exported through there. We don't know if the economics would work well fast enough to use that oil locally, even if you assume an export control is politically feasible.
Iran already attacked gulf oil in retaliation... This is existential.
It is existential for Israel too, which is why the two Jews Trump sent to negotiate sabotaged the negotiations.
Iran wasn't important for American dominance at all, because even now China is going to be just fine, they did so much work to prepare for this. They won't magically lose their industry edge, he'll even Iran won't lose it's arms industry that fast.
however... Now that the US is in it, losing and capitulating to Iran (withdrawing from the gulf as Iran demands) would definitely be a Suez moment.
The USA will survive without being an empire though... Maybe even do better.
All in all, I don't think this was justifiable by any American interest, and much easier to explain by zionists (Americans even more than Iraelis) simply are very happy to sacrifice the American Empire sooner than lose it's support for Israel as the generational shift continues, and if the worst case happened; US withdraw from the Middle East... Well then that is better than if it stayed and became hostile as more Americans become antizionists.