Damus

Recent Notes

Predyx · 3d
🐋 #BIP110 WHALE ALERT Anonymous trader holds 5M+ YES shares on the PREDYX BIP110 market. That’s conviction at scale or market is misreading this… or someone’s early. 🔗 https://beta.predy...
Marcus Satbard profile picture
That market is not well designed, as unconditional activation will most likely happen a few days after the 1st of September. Also, after activation there need to be fresh UTXOs that are spent and violate BIP110 constraints. It looks like Predyx is run by Knotzis that want to make it look like the fork has higher chances of success.
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Predyx · 1d
Anyone can create a market on Predyx. If you think there can be better version or something new, please go ahead. PREDYX welcomes all equally. As a Bitcoin-Powered Prediction Market, we believe in remaining non bs and open to all.
Tomek ⚡ K · 4d
Do you have some position on nostr:nprofile1qythwumn8ghj7cnfw33k76twv4ezuum0vd5kzmp0qy88wumn8ghj7mn0wvhxcmmv9uqzpf9ssz754afcag8qxpluafu3xd4pe2776du53x8autghf4f9h28ky6jc3c or somewhere?
Marcus Satbard profile picture
Markets at Predyx are clear: it’s a shitfork. Likewise all other markets. Indeed it’s also clear from the trustless sats swap market in the Polish 21 TG group, which you now own after my initiative... That’s why you should finally do your job @Tomek ⚡ K and start enforcing the rules of the group. You should not allow it to become a platform for shitfork promotion. There has been a long-standing precedent for that in bitcoin communities since the blocksize war. The massive bitcoin community on Reddit is a good example.
https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/about/
🇮🇹Davide btc ⚡ · 1d
the wisdom of the crowd is often a reflection of its lowest common denominator. protect the sanctity of the space.
Aaron van Wirdum · 1w
I received a few requests to write an article or record a podcast on BIP110, but frankly I don’t see the point right now. Until someone is willing to put their money (no one has taken on nostr:npub...
Marcus Satbard profile picture
I see your point but we should not underestimate our enemy. It's way easier to constrain bitcoin rules than to relax them. It's a shitfork even in the economic valuation of its proponents so they should be ostracized for promoting it and pay at least social cost for attacking bitcoin.
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🇮🇹Davide btc ⚡ · 6d
i agree, but what's the point of ostracizing them? doesn't that just fuel their narrative & make us look petty?
Aaron van Wirdum · 6d
Yeah I know, but it's arguably still more than nothing at all (ie. social media posts).
Daniel Prince · 6d
Weird. This is the third time I have been asked to gamble on BIP110. All I have been doing is asking for resources and sharing them as I get them. I don't gamble, haven't since my 30's. But thanks...
Marcus Satbard profile picture
I'm just offering to swap sats and checking if I can still trust you or if you sold out to become a shitfork promoter. Indeed gambling here is helping to push a contentious change onto bitcoin by platforming that propaganda. Moreover, not at your own expense but at the cost of all bitcoin users.
Jameson Lopp · 1w
Back in September I publicly offered to enter into a wager with anyone who was claiming that Bitcoin Core v30 was going to result in a massive node crash / network outage. Nary a Knotzi took me up on ...
Marcus Satbard profile picture
Man, I have been looking for a single BIP‑110 promoter who doesn’t consider it a shitfork for over 3 months. I’m willing to swap smaller amounts via a trustless (on‑chain) multisig. It turns out, they’re all full of shit liars who push others towards a fork that they don’t believe will succeed.
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Daniel Prince · 6d
Weird. This is the third time I have been asked to gamble on BIP110. All I have been doing is asking for resources and sharing them as I get them. I don't gamble, haven't since my 30's. But thanks for the offer.