Global M2 Money Supply vs BTC
The largest decline in global M2 has just occured (see top-right of global M2 line) in the last 7 months.
Since we've pushed the global M2 line forward by 90 days, this means this drop in global liquidity could reflect itself in BTC around late September/October 2025-- just 2 months from today.
The big question: Will this be a Bitcoin sub-peak or will it mark the FINAL Bitcoin top?
• SUB-PEAK? •
If this is just a sub-peak, it does look like a fairly significant correction could be in store in the month of late Sept/October and possibly longer (we have to see what the M2 line does next to see how long it could last).
• FINAL TOP? •
If this is the final top, that means we just have about 2 more months left in the bull run.
Rather than jumping to conclusions with premature data, I think a continued watchful eye of the global M2 line during the next several weeks is our best course of action. Let's watch it in the coming weeks and see if it reverts or continues downward. What it does next will be a big clue.
Luckily, we have about 90-days' advance warning with the M2 offset, being a delayed reaction, as it is.
Also, I will continue monitoring other metrics (in addition to M2) in order to gauge if we do feel the final top has been reached. This is described in the video below.
