Damus
BTCDataGuy profile picture
BTCDataGuy
@BTCDataGuy

Data-loving engineer: Hooked on Bitcoin since 2018, analyzing network fundamentals with SQL. Proud dad,
Node Runner and Home Miner ⚡️

Relays (20)
  • wss://relay.mostr.pub – read & write
  • wss://relay.damus.io – read & write
  • wss://nostr.einundzwanzig.space – read & write
  • wss://nostr.wine – read & write
  • wss://nostr-pub.wellorder.net – read & write
  • wss://eden.nostr.land – read & write
  • wss://relay.snort.social – read & write
  • wss://nos.lol – read & write
  • wss://nostr.bitcoiner.social – read & write
  • wss://nostr.cercatrova.me – read & write
  • wss://nostr.bitcoinplebs.de – read & write
  • wss://nostr.land – read & write
  • wss://atlas.nostr.land – read & write
  • wss://eyes.f7z.io – read & write
  • wss://frens.utxo.one – read & write
  • wss://nostr.600.wtf – read & write
  • wss://filter.nostr.wine – read & write
  • wss://nostr.oxtr.dev – read & write
  • wss://nostrelites.org – read & write
  • wss://puravida.nostr.land – read & write

Recent Notes

BTCDataGuy profile picture
I've been using OpenClaw 🦞 since v2026.1.26 and I’m absolutely obsessed with it

The time I’ve invested is now approx 127.4x greater than the time I’ve actually saved

Am I doing it right?
BTCDataGuy profile picture
The Big Three dominance is actually trending down, not up

We've gone from 65% to 58% concentration in a year while the "Other" category keeps growing

The centralization FUD is nothing but engagement slop

BTCDataGuy profile picture
The Hashrate Ribbon is screaming

Inefficient miners are getting purged from the network as the 30d SMA collapses below the 60d

This is a gift for those who understand mathematical finality

The weak hands are folding while the big players prepare for the difficulty drop
BTCDataGuy profile picture
AI is the hardware wall that makes Bitcoin inevitable

We are moving from asset-light software slop to asset-heavy physical reality

Billions in capex and raw minerals are the new bottleneck

The edge is where the value stays, far away from centralized cloud failures

Sovereign machines need a sovereign money layer

Nothing stops this train
BTCDataGuy profile picture
The Lightning mid-2025 liquidity exodus was real

Net funding flow turned negative as weak hands and retail noise fled the network

But look at the recovery starting late 2025

While the "Public Capacity" metric remains suppressed, the On-chain Net Flow has already pivoted to a massive breakout

The capital returning to Lightning is different this time

It is institutional, professional, and increasingly private

Stack accordingly

BTCDataGuy · 1w
People still argue for bigger blocks in 2026 as if they didn’t learn anything from the past If Bitcoin had scaled to 8MB blocks in 2017 with current relative utilization, the chain would be at 2.88...
BTCDataGuy profile picture
Maintaining a Node for 5 years with 8MB blocks would cost you over $570 in SSD storage alone today

The current Bitcoin standard keeps that cost at a manageable $85

We are currently witnessing a massive run up in NAND prices due to AI demand, making big blocks even more catastrophic for decentralization

Cheap SSDs masked the cost of bloat for a while, those days are over

Stack blocks, not bloat
BTCDataGuy profile picture
People still argue for bigger blocks in 2026 as if they didn’t learn anything from the past

If Bitcoin had scaled to 8MB blocks in 2017 with current relative utilization, the chain would be at 2.88 TB today

Instead we settled for the signal at 720 GB

8MB blocks are a direct attack on sovereignty, forced bloat for no gain

The math is clear, do the work or stay lost
1
BTCDataGuy · 1w
Maintaining a Node for 5 years with 8MB blocks would cost you over $570 in SSD storage alone today The current Bitcoin standard keeps that cost at a manageable $85 We are currently witnessing a massive run up in NAND prices due to AI demand, making big blocks even more catastrophic for decentraliz...
BTCDataGuy profile picture
Monthly Update: Small & Solo Bitcoin Mining – January 2026 Edition

The small & solo mining network share (90d SMA) continued sliding in January, now sitting around ~1.8% after the drop from ~2% in December. Monthly blocks found remained soft, similar to late 2025 levels. The chart shows this short-term weakness against the powerful multi-year upward trend since early 2023.

Despite the recent pullback, the decentralization story is alive and well – more and more capable home miners are coming online. Folks upgrading from ~1.3 TH/s Bitaxe units to stronger setups like FutureBit's Apollo series (2–3 TH/s) or PowerMiningFarm's NerdQaxe++ (4.8 TH/s) keep improving their solo chances step by step.
1
BTCDataGuy · 2w
Out of 73 solo/small mining blocks found in January, Ocean still dominated heavily with 70 (95.9%), followed by a tiny slice of KanoPool (1), Unknown (2), and – notably – zero clear solo CK / public pool solo wins this month. https://blossom.primal.net/2cdc16c52442a4e243826055573d33fd7793a1f395b...
BTCDataGuy profile picture
This chart is a lesson in market deception.

One line offers a dopamine hit (+264.9%). The other offers a discipline test (-19.1%).

Humans suffer from Action Bias. We instinctively equate "motion" with "progress." If an asset isn't moving, our survival brain assumes it’s broken or dead.

But in markets, volatility is often a distraction, while stillness is where the structural work happens.

Bitcoin isn't stagnant; it’s digesting. It is absorbing massive institutional shifts and ETF inflows without the fireworks. It’s a transfer of ownership from the impatient to the convicted.

Chasing the vertical line feels good today. Surviving the flat line pays off for the decade.

Stagnation is the gatekeeper.