nostr:nprofile1qy2hwumn8ghj7un9d3shjtnddaehgu3wwp6kyqpqxh37svv5y6urp7lhn37zcyl86xvdph8gn6m5xl42l5f0kryf7q3qcvrlmn
Hmmm, no analogy is perfect (which I'm happy to accept); on one level you are right ...
@nprofile1q...
Or to state it more bluntly: 'Ukraine would have lost in early 2022 without US support, and is only able to continue fighting so long as the US provides military assistance'. Ukraine is not an independent actor, and I don't think it helps anyone to pretend otherwise. The US provided military support to Ukraine because it helped the foreign policy of the US in that region.
Even with US support Ukraine is losing this war quite badly. They would have got a much better deal in 2022, they will get a far worse deal in 2026 and an absolutely terrible deal if/when their army collapses. At this point neither the west, or Ukraine, are in a very strong bargaining position.
Or to state it more bluntly: 'Ukraine would have lost in early 2022 without US support, and is only able to continue fighting so long as the US provides military assistance'. Ukraine is not an independent actor, and I don't think it helps anyone to pretend otherwise. The US provided military support to Ukraine because it helped the foreign policy of the US in that region.
Even with US support Ukraine is losing this war quite badly. They would have got a much better deal in 2022, they will get a far worse deal in 2026 and an absolutely terrible deal if/when their army collapses. At this point neither the west, or Ukraine, are in a very strong bargaining position.