Damus
Macro_Intuitions profile picture
Macro_Intuitions
@Macro_Intuitions

Ideas about possible scenarios evolving in Global Markets and Economy.

Looking at charts often is the best way to read news..

Not financial advices, a bit of astrology for man mixed with intuitions that I don't trade.. but I should have often.

#economy #macro #charts #geopolitics #finance

Relays (8)
  • wss://relay.orangepill.ovh – read & write
  • wss://nostr.oxtr.dev – read & write
  • wss://relay-rpi.edufeed.org – read & write
  • wss://relay.nostr.net – read & write
  • wss://nostr-01.uid.ovh – read & write
  • wss://nostr.thalheim.io – read & write
  • wss://relay.mostr.pub – read & write
  • wss://relay.bitcoindistrict.org – read & write

Recent Notes

Laeserin · 12w
Dein Wort in Gottes Ohr. 🙏🏻
SoapMiner · 13w
I don't want to be that harsh, but it is irritating sometimes. I'm selling you a quality product, and you want to offer me shit fiat.
utxo the webmaster 🧑‍💻 · 18w
I feel like we are due for a 2008 level poop in the stock market And maybe all it takes is Nvidia weird circular deals to unravel Idk, but pretty sure if stocks dump then they'll take bitcoin with i...
Macro_Intuitions profile picture
I would agree with you.. and yeah very likely will take btc down with it, but I still believe not going under 60k, or if it really will be just a blip to liquidate longs stop losses and with a tiny and sharp hourly wick.

But yeah I do see a fast dump in QQQ before end of May. But I also see 92k for BTC before that.. difficult both things will be true, but possible.
BitPrint · 19w
🫂
Macro_Intuitions profile picture
Shit was about to hit the fan and Central Banks needed to act, and they did.

There are some levels on different charts that all at same time were signalling stress in markets, and the most blatant ones that currently make more noise IMO are the 10yrs US interests yeald, and the USD/JPY rate.


When the 10yrs goes near 4.45% range you can almost bet that Trump and or the FED will do everything they can to lower it down. With a Teump tweet saying Strait is open again (lol) or the FED opening Swap Lines for other Central Banks in stress because of oil price and their currency falling. And you can tell looking at Japanese Yen that can't go over 160, and if does JCB will sell everything to avoid it, and US govt will try to avoid having Japan to sell US treasury or Assets.. sooo Swap Line opened to convert Foreign currencies with Dollars to increase liquidity and trying to stabilise markets.
Check what they did yesterday..


DXY ofc corrected too at same time going from almost 100 to 98 in some hrs and also € strengthened with 1% raise at same time.

So what is US purpose? IMO keeping lower interest rates as they have to refinancenad reroll 10T debt in the next months with lowest yealds thwy can, while inflation going up, basically destroying purchasing power of Treasury owners in the long time.. someone has to pay the debt, and is never the government.

Some is spotting this and that's why Investors looks for higher yealds pushing it up forcing the FED to act.. those months as we go to mid election and new FED chair while all markets, economic balances and supply routes changing, will be interesting to watch developing.

They'll print, and things like bitcoin are spotting it first.. IMHO.

#Economy #markets #finance #macro #geopolitc #currency #yeald
2
𝕞ptf · 19w
great chart work. thanks for sharing man
Connie · 20w
Trump's interventions generate unprecedented systemic risks. The timing couldn't be worse. The human cost will be terrible, and yet I believe it could provide an opportunity for changes that would not have otherwise occurred.
mytwosats · 21w
a Lot ^^ my Problem was that i took more than 2 month to get the money from a property sell. i feel the fomo 😂 i ll wait for s pull Back. famous Last words but 72 k is now my 58 k
Macro_Intuitions profile picture
I understand you, we weren't trying to time the market and wishing for lower price, you just weren't able to deploy 😅

I do see a possibility of 72k again. This move up was very sharp and quick and probably nkw exhausted (?). Maybe you are lucky to see 72k before 80k.. but if you'll see 80k first, not sure you'll see 72k again.
2
mytwosats · 21w
dca doesnt move the needle anymore signoficant. so this is my last act and i guess this purchase is already for the next generation. nothing left to sell. feels good anyway :)