Damus
Macro_Intuitions profile picture
Macro_Intuitions
@Macro_Intuitions

Ideas about possible scenarios evolving in Global Markets and Economy.

Looking at charts often is the best way to read news..

Not financial advices, a bit of astrology for man mixed with intuitions that I don't trade.. but I should have often.

#economy #macro #charts #geopolitics #finance

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Recent Notes

Macro_Intuitions profile picture
Commodities have being much more volatile than they used too, from metals to oil, we saw fast and sharp spikes in both directions as news hit mainstream media.. but the trends looks still the same: probably they peaked.
(I didn't short gold, is just the same imaginary position I post about days ago..)

Gold, Silver and Oil spiked and reached levels they saw just few times. While metals are already in their chopping/consolidating flohase since a couple of months, oil apparently just started and IMO may go down from here and we shouldn't see it over 110$ again for this summer.. unless same other big thing happens or escaletes rapidly again.

Another interesting chart is BTC/GOLD were you can see how bitcoin bottom and Gold peak are very likely confirmed. Not saying Gold will go lower for all the year on, just that compared to bitcoin will lag a lot IMO.
(To be fair, Gold RSI in the 4hr chart doesn't look bad and like wants to revert, but looks weaker than bitcoin.)
The stoopid line looks like is working..

#macro #commodity #finance #economy #gold #btc #oil
𝕞ptf · 3w
im ready
Macro_Intuitions profile picture
Shit was about to hit the fan and Central Banks needed to act, and they did.

There are some levels on different charts that all at same time were signalling stress in markets, and the most blatant ones that currently make more noise IMO are the 10yrs US interests yeald, and the USD/JPY rate.


When the 10yrs goes near 4.45% range you can almost bet that Trump and or the FED will do everything they can to lower it down. With a Teump tweet saying Strait is open again (lol) or the FED opening Swap Lines for other Central Banks in stress because of oil price and their currency falling. And you can tell looking at Japanese Yen that can't go over 160, and if does JCB will sell everything to avoid it, and US govt will try to avoid having Japan to sell US treasury or Assets.. sooo Swap Line opened to convert Foreign currencies with Dollars to increase liquidity and trying to stabilise markets.
Check what they did yesterday..


DXY ofc corrected too at same time going from almost 100 to 98 in some hrs and also € strengthened with 1% raise at same time.

So what is US purpose? IMO keeping lower interest rates as they have to refinancenad reroll 10T debt in the next months with lowest yealds thwy can, while inflation going up, basically destroying purchasing power of Treasury owners in the long time.. someone has to pay the debt, and is never the government.

Some is spotting this and that's why Investors looks for higher yealds pushing it up forcing the FED to act.. those months as we go to mid election and new FED chair while all markets, economic balances and supply routes changing, will be interesting to watch developing.

They'll print, and things like bitcoin are spotting it first.. IMHO.

#Economy #markets #finance #macro #geopolitc #currency #yeald
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𝕞ptf · 3w
great chart work. thanks for sharing man
Mark Sea · 3w
Interesting point about Trumps tweets and their timing. I haven’t thought if that, but it would fit the narrative nicely that him and Powell are much closer behind the scenes than they would have the public believe. Maybe add “Trump tweets” to the Fed’s tool box.
Macro_Intuitions · 3w
I posted 2 times the same chart.. here you can much easily spot how crucial that levels is in the 10yrs treasury: https://i.nostr.build/8Eg4bp4YQJbViNDL.png
Pana - The Network State of Refuge · 3w
https://primal.net/e/nevent1qqsdrzllzc6g40vdq25yzhtcaeytpmpk0mv62szp6lzcd534ut7capcus5flk
Macro_Intuitions profile picture
So much chart to post.. so less time to do it.

Sorry, will catch up soon as looks we are again at crucial spot on many important charts, from bond yealds to foreign currencies and commodities.

#macro #economy #finance #charts
𝕞ptf · 3w
the most hated bitcoin rally ever. if the bottom is in, many gonna be looking silly