@marcp
Fundamentally, #bitcoin changes everything because it protects the most important, scarce thing in this world. Your time.
Relays (3)
- wss://nos.lol – read & write
- wss://nostr.mom – read & write
- wss://relay.damus.io – read
Recent Notes
It’s so beautiful 😢
https://blossom.primal.net/46ac568c20a79a185302515b6a6dce3be21402a34839fd69011ddfd48f3fe018.jpg
Probably the best thing Trump has done.
The salability of bitcoin across time and space changes the game. A call option for truth exists at instant speed at near zero cost. Rocks, nor anything else can do this.
The future is truth at the speed of light.
The future is truth at the speed of light.
Tiger makes for a good meal? Who knew!
Sundays have become one of my favorite days to play (work).
My husband and I replaced the word most people use for “work” with “play.”
We literally play all day. Doing what we love. Having fu...
I might borrow that replacement of play. Something wrong in the mindset of "work" as if it is bad. Of course it is not bad, it is a modern cultural problem.
Nothing wrong with work, in fact it is essential and fulfilling, but it has been tainted with doing something against your will or bc you have to do it.
So, flipping it to play is great, OR opportunity, progress, building, etc.
Nothing wrong with work, in fact it is essential and fulfilling, but it has been tainted with doing something against your will or bc you have to do it.
So, flipping it to play is great, OR opportunity, progress, building, etc.
Only one of these is a real eagle which one is it?
I A.I. generated the rest
https://blossom.primal.net/f1c85b82f653ac6df04ae5424b5196d633ecf0fa8a22dd6679b08ef8ed3228d2.jpg
It doesn't matter if it is AI generated and it looks real... for all practical purposes of the image it is real. Pictures of real things are not real either, they have loss and they are fake, they just are reconstructions. AI is really no different, just worse usually.
Got denied buying a mini computer NUC at Amazon and Walmart. I have an insane credit score btw.
This must be my CBDC free trial
#bitcoin or slavery #fuckthisdystopia
Denied? How does that even happen? Why would they be checking your credit score?
So what is the math saying about bitcoin price lagging behind silver and gold?
There is some correalation but it is pretty weak. Time will tell, but everyone saying this is how it works is not working from a strong historical example.
Mathematical Lag Analysis
To quantify lags between asset movements, I computed the cross-correlation of monthly % changes over lags from -12 to +12 months, finding the lag that maximizes the Pearson correlation coefficient. Positive lag means the first asset leads the second; negative means the second leads the first. (Calculation: For each lag ( k ), correlate series1 with series2 shifted by ( k ); select ( k ) with max correlation.)
BTC vs. Gold: Lag = -4 months (correlation = 0.21). Gold's moves tend to precede BTC's by ~4 months.
BTC vs. Silver: Lag = -6 months (correlation = 0.23). Silver's moves tend to precede BTC's by ~6 months.
Gold vs. Silver: Lag = 0 months (correlation = 0.79). No lag; they move synchronously.
These lags suggest precious metals (especially Silver) may act as leading indicators for BTC movements, though the correlations are weak (0.21-0.23), indicating limited predictive power. Gold and Silver's tight link (no lag, strong corr) reflects their shared commodity dynamics, while BTC's independence drives its higher volatility.
There is some correalation but it is pretty weak. Time will tell, but everyone saying this is how it works is not working from a strong historical example.
Mathematical Lag Analysis
To quantify lags between asset movements, I computed the cross-correlation of monthly % changes over lags from -12 to +12 months, finding the lag that maximizes the Pearson correlation coefficient. Positive lag means the first asset leads the second; negative means the second leads the first. (Calculation: For each lag ( k ), correlate series1 with series2 shifted by ( k ); select ( k ) with max correlation.)
BTC vs. Gold: Lag = -4 months (correlation = 0.21). Gold's moves tend to precede BTC's by ~4 months.
BTC vs. Silver: Lag = -6 months (correlation = 0.23). Silver's moves tend to precede BTC's by ~6 months.
Gold vs. Silver: Lag = 0 months (correlation = 0.79). No lag; they move synchronously.
These lags suggest precious metals (especially Silver) may act as leading indicators for BTC movements, though the correlations are weak (0.21-0.23), indicating limited predictive power. Gold and Silver's tight link (no lag, strong corr) reflects their shared commodity dynamics, while BTC's independence drives its higher volatility.
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